Morning News

Good morning...

Yesterday was disappointing but these things happen.

At least our Banker's Bet and our Chancer's Bet won,

Both were the same selection, just from different systems.

I didn't watch the results come in...

So, I'm struggling to say anything meaningful.

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.88%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.21%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.21% from all 33 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 71.61 units returned to 95 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -24.62%

Top Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the top rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 14.11 units returned to 32 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -55.91%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the second rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 40.5 units returned to 32 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 26.56%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17 units returned to 31 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -45.16%

Forecasts

There was 1 forecast yesterday.

Clonmel 15:30:00 - The CSF paid £1.87

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Wincanton 15:40:00 - The CSF paid £12.39

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Clonmel 14:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £77.40

Wincanton 15:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £48.52

Winners

From the 32 rated races there were 19 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Towcester	13:10	Navanman (2)	7.00	7.89
Towcester	14:10	Cheat The Cheater (4)	7.00	8.40
Southwell (AW)	14:50	Blades Lad (8)	6.00	6.60
Chelmsford (AW)	18:40	Cotton Club (1)	7.00	8.00
Chelmsford (AW)	19:40	Compton Prince (7)	6.00	8.40

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = All Weather Bankers - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and Horse\'s last run was less than 42 days ago and the Race\'s RC1 is greater than 86% and the Horse\'s Confidence is greater than 150% and the Forecast Starting Price was less than 3.1

Selection = Back to ISP - Chelmsford (AW) - 19:10:00 - Semra (5)

Races (over last year): 30 Wins: 18 Strike Rate: 60.00% ROI: 111.60% AV SP: 1.86

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £34.80

Semra won @ 15.3 ISP (1.62 BSP.)

Chancers Bet = All Weather Wonders - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 28 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60% and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is September or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December

Selection = Back to ISP - Chelmsford (AW) - 19:10:00 - Semra (5)

Races (over last year): 53 Wins: 27 Strike Rate: 50.94% ROI: 139.07AV SP: 2.73

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £207.10

Semra won @ 15.3 ISP (1.62 BSP.)

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Clonmel 13:25:00 - Dnailor - Unplaced
Towcester 13:40:00 - Trimvirate - Unplaced
Clonmel 13:55:00 - Let Her Cry -Unplaced
Wincanton 14:30:00 - Who's Micky Brown - 3rd - Betfair paid 2.58 for the place.
Towcester 14:40:00 - Christmas Twenty - Unplaced

We made a loss of 2.499 points on the day and have made a loss of 10.499 points for February.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 4.406322 points on the day an have made a loss of 12.542322 points for February.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 4.406322 for the day and we have made a loss of 12.5423 points for January.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJan.xls

Something to make you laugh

A great one from Lee....

These are sentences exactly as typed by medical secretaries in National Health Service Greater Glasgow

1. The patient has no previous history of suicide.

2. Patient has left her white blood cells at another hospital.

3. Patient's medical history has been remarkably insignificant with only a 40 pound weight gain in the past three days.

4. She has no rigours or shaking chills, but her husband states she was very hot in bed last night.

5. Patient has chest pain if she lies on her left side for over a year.

6. On the second day the knee was better and on the third day it disappeared.

7. The patient is tearful and crying constantly. She also appears to be depressed.

8. The patient has been depressed since she began seeing me in 1993.

9. Discharge status:- Alive, but without my permission.

10. Healthy, appearing decrepit, 69-year old male, mentally alert, but forgetful.

11. Patient had waffles for breakfast and anorexia for lunch.

12. She is numb from her toes down.

13. While in ER, she was examined, x-rated and sent home.

14. The skin was moist and dry.

15. Occasional constant infrequent headaches.

16. Patient was alert and unresponsive.

17. Rectal examination revealed a normal size thyroid.

18. She stated that she had been constipated for most of her life until she got a divorce.

19. I saw your patient today, who is still under our care for physical therapy.

20. Both breasts are equal and reactive to light and accommodation.

21. Examination of genitalia reveals that he is circus sized.

22. The lab test indicated abnormal lover function.

23. Skin: somewhat pale, but present.

24. The pelvic exam will be done later on the floor.

25. Large brown stool ambulating in the hall.

26. Patient has two teenage children, but no other abnormalities.

27. When she fainted, her eyes rolled around the room.

28. The patient was in his usual state of good health until his airplane ran out of fuel and crashed.

29. Between you and me, we ought to be able to get this lady pregnant.

30. She slipped on the ice and apparently her legs went in separate directions in early December.

31. Patient was seen in consultation by Dr. Smith, who felt we should sit on the abdomen and I agree.

32. The patient was to have a bowel resection. However, he took a job as a stock broker instead.

33. By the time he was admitted, his rapid heart had stopped, and he was feeling better.

For the sake of your health - stay away from hospital.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 34 rated races from five meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards