Morning News

Good morning...

Yesterday didn't seem to stand up to recent results but,

We're still doing well for the month as a whole.

Today doesn't look too exciting with only three meetings but I am planning to actually watch the racing today...

Who knows, perhaps I'll learn something.

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.21%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.21%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 20.59% from all 34 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 59.7 units returned to 98 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -39.08%

Top Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the top rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 24.45 units returned to 33 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -25.91%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the second rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 19.5 units returned to 33 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -40.91%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 15.75 units returned to 32 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -50.78%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Newcastle 13:50:00 - The CSF paid £1.29

Kempton 15:05:00 - The CSF paid £4.06

Reverse Forecasts

There were 0 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Newcastle 13:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £1.10

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 15:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £120.70

Newcastle 16:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £46.30

Lingfield (AW) 16:30:00 - The Trifecta paid £7.00

Winners

From the 33 rated races there were 14 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 4 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Lingfield (AW)	14:45	Sunblazer (1)	6.00	7.27
Newcastle	14:50	Rocking Blues (12)	9.00	10.23
Navan	15:00	Jury Duty (5)	9.00	11.25
Lingfield (AW)	15:55	Bold Prediction (4)	7.00	8.00

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = All Weather Wonders - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 28 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60% and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is September or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December

Selection = Back to ISP - Lingfield (AW) - 16:30:00 - Lady Lloyd (5)

Races (over last year): 51 Wins: 25 Strike Rate: 49.02% ROI: 131.86% AV SP: 2.69

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £162.50

Lady Lloyd came third.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Navan 13:55:00 - Our Lizzie - Unplaced
Kempton 14:00:00 - Wolfcatcher - Unplaced
Chepstow 14:05:00 - Barenice - Unplaced
Navan 14:30:00 - Small World - Unplaced
Kempton 14:35:00 - Cloonacool - Unplaced
Kempton 17:20:00 - Templeross - 2nd - Betfair paid 3.20 for the place.

We made a loss of 2.91 points on the day and have made a loss of 3.079 points for February.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 3.32898 points on the day and have made a loss of 13.595256 points for February.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 2.65098 points for the day and we have made a loss of 12.2355 points for February.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSFeb.xls

Something to make you laugh

Social Media

I’ve given up social media for the New Year and am trying to make friends outside Facebook while 
applying the same principles. Every day, I walk down the street and tell passersby what I’ve eaten, how I feel, what I did the night before, and what I will do tomorrow. Then I give them pictures of my family, my dog, and me gardening. I also listen to their conversations and tell them I love them. And it works. I already have three people following me—two 
police officers and a psychiatrist.

Fishing For Whiskey

“Poor Old fool,” thought the well-dressed gentleman as he watched an old man fish in a puddle outside a pub.

So he invited the old man inside for a drink.

As they sipped their whiskeys, the gentleman thought he’d humour the old man and asked, “So how many have you caught today?”

The old man replied, “You’re the eighth.”

Today

Today's early test ratings show 20 rated races from three meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards