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Good morning...
A pretty decent day, yesterday but...
I guess that everyone is more interested in the next four days.
I'm just about to pop out to my local PMU for a morning cup of coffee and to check that they'll be showing the racing on their big screen TV.
I do hope so as it'll be more fun watching there than here.
Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 31.25%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 31.58%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.81% from all 21 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 53.07 units returned to 54 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -1.72%
Top Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the top rated horses from 16 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 20.32 units returned to 16 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 27%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the second rated horses from 19 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 28.25 units returned to 19 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 48.68%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 1 winners from the third rated horses from 19 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 4.5 units returned to 19 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -76.32%
Forecasts
There was 1 forecast yesterday.
Cork 15:35:00 - The CSF paid £2.21
Reverse Forecasts
There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.
Plumpton 14:10:00 - The CSF paid £4.68
Plumpton 15:15:00 - The CSF paid £10.08
Taunton 15:25:00 - The CSF paid £7.25
Tricasts/Trifectas
There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Combination Tricasts/Trifectas
There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Taunton 14:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £84.40
Plumpton 15:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £17.30
Taunton 15:25:00 - The Trifecta paid £21.10
Winners
From the 19 rated races there were 12 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 3 of those were at nice prices.
Course | Time | Horse | ISP | BSP |
Plumpton | 15:15 | Sportsreport (2) | 6.50 | 7.40 |
Taunton | 16:25 | Heres Herbie (2) | 6.00 | 7.02 |
Plumpton | 17:15 | Rior (4) | 6.00 | 6.58 |
There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.
Bankers Bet = NH Hurdles Wonders - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Hurdles and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60%
Selection = Back to ISP - Cork - 16:05:00 - Velocity Boy (1)Races (over last year): 22 Wins: 9 Strike Rate: 40.91% ROI: 136.23% AV SP: 3.33
Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £79.70
Velocity Boy was a non-runner.
On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.
You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.
If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.
Cork 15:35:00 - Presentingoscar - Unplaced
We made a loss of 1 point on the day and have made a loss of 0.515 points for March.
For the new strategy we made a loss of 0.678 points on the day and have made a loss of 2.38317 points for March.
I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.
For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 0.678 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 1.68483 points for March.
The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSMar.xls
Little League
At one point during a game, the coach said to one of his young players, "Do you understand what cooperation is? What a team is?"
The little boy nodded in the affirmative.
"Do you understand that what matters is whether we win together as a team?"
The little boy nodded yes.
"So," the coach continued, "when a strike is called, or you're out at first, you don't argue or curse or attack the umpire. Do you understand all that?"
Again the little boy nodded.
"Good," said the coach. "Now go over there and explain it to your mother."
Today's early test ratings show 28 rated races from four meetings.
Every race is rated.
Have a great day's racing!
As always...
My kindest regards
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