Morning News

Good morning...

Yesterday was a rather confusing one for me.

The overall results don't really describe the day as it was far better than the numbers suggest.

After all, you could have done the forecast or trifecta in every race and you would have made a profit.

Or, come to think of it, the reverse forecast or combination trifecta.

And whilst the overall strike rate for the top rated horse was perfectly acceptable...

I was expecting a slightly higher number.

Anyway, enough of that, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.32%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30.77%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25.58% from all 43 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 122.07 units returned to 113 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 8.03%

Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 38 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 18.74 units returned to 38 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -50.68%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the second rated horses from 37 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 61.58 units returned to 37 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 66.43%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the third rated horses from 38 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 41.75 units returned to 38 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 9.87%

Forecasts

There were 4 forecasts yesterday.

Wexford 15:00:00 - The CSF paid £22.41

Cheltenham 15:30:00 - The CSF paid £8.82

Hexham 15:55:00 - The CSF paid £18.68

Towcester 16:25:00 - The CSF paid £6.37

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Towcester 13:45:00 - The CSF paid £2.60

Towcester 14:25:00 - The CSF paid £80.65

Hexham 14:35:00 - The CSF paid £3.42

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Wexford 15:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £70.10

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Hexham 14:35:00 - The Trifecta paid £4.50

Down Royal 16:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £341.20

Down Royal 16:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £4.20

Winners

From the 40 rated races there were 26 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 8 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Down Royal	14:00	Mount Beckham (12)	9.00	9.94
Towcester	14:25	Grams And Ounces (5)	21.00	28.56
Down Royal	16:00	Kylestyle (4)	6.50	8.13
Hexham	16:35	Itstimeforapint (3)	9.00	10.50
Hexham	17:10	Flaming Thistle (5)	11.00	12.17
Hexham	17:40	Too Many Chiefs (6)	9.00	10.46
Chelmsford (AW)	17:50	Choral Clan (5)	6.00	7.21
Chelmsford (AW)	20:50	Kuanyao (1)	5.50	6.20

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Down Royal 14:00:00 - Mount Beckham - 1st - Betfair paid 3.35 for the place.
Wexford 15:00:00 - First Post - 2nd - Betfair paid 2.94 for the place.
Down Royal 16:00:00 - Dr. Moloney - Unplaced

We made a profit of 3.0755 points on the day and have made a profit of 0.5605 points for March.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 1.978743 points on the day and have made a loss of 2.438427 points for March.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 1.978743 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 1.629573 points for March.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSMar.xls

Something to make you laugh

Woman in Hot Air Balloon

A woman in a hot air balloon realized she was lost. She lowered her altitude and spotted a man in a boat below. She shouted to him,

"Excuse me, can you help me? I promised a friend I would meet him an hour ago, but I don't know where I am."

The man consulted his portable GPS and replied, "You're in a hot air balloon, approximately 30 feet above ground elevation of 2,346 feet above sea level. You are at 31 degrees, 14.97 minutes south latitude and 100 degrees, 49.09 minutes west longitude."

She rolled her eyes and said, "You must be a Liberal Coalition supporter”.

"I am," replied the man. "How did you know?"

"Well," answered the balloonist, "everything you told me is technically correct. But I have no idea what to do with your information, and I'm still lost. Frankly, you've not been much help to me."

The man smiled and responded, "You must be a Labor supporter."

"I am," replied the balloonist. "How did you know?"

"Well," said the man, "you don't know where you are - or where you are going. You've risen to where you are, due to a large quantity of hot air. You made a promise you have no idea how to keep, and you expect me to solve your problem. You're in exactly the same position you were in before we met, but somehow, now it's my fault."

P R I C E L E S S !!

Today

Today's early test ratings show 32 rated races from five meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards