Morning News

Good morning...

Well, we got the first and second in the Gold Cup but...

In the wrong order.

As there was only 0.87% difference in confidence between the two, I can't be too upset about that.

Neither can I complain about the overall strike rate which was above 30% and thus, quite respectable.

So, Cheltenham over, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 32.26%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 31.25%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 33.33% from all 33 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 73.03 units returned to 91 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -19.75%

Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 26.08 units returned to 31 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -15.87%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the second rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17.49 units returned to 32 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -45.34%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the third rated horses from 28 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 29.46 units returned to 28 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 5.21%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 13:15:00 - The CSF paid £4.49

Fakenham 15:15:00 - The CSF paid £18.75

Wolverhampton (AW) 18:40:00 - The CSF paid £10.58

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Cheltenham 15:30:00 - The CSF paid £12.68

Dundalk (AW) 20:30:00 - The CSF paid £7.83

Dundalk (AW) 21:00:00 - The CSF paid £5.01

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 13:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £11.80

Fakenham 15:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £41.70

Combination Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 15:05:00 - The Trifecta paid £12.10

Cheltenham 16:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £141.00

Winners

From the 32 rated races there were 21 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 3 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Cheltenham	13:30	Ivanovich Gorbatov (8)	5.50	6.86
Cheltenham	14:10	Superb Story (25)	9.00	12.56
Dundalk (AW)	18:30	Rateel (7)	7.00	14.50

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = All Weather Wonders - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 28 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60% and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is September or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December

Selection = Back to ISP - Lingfield (AW) - 13:15:00 - Doctor Parkes (4)

Races (over last year): 55 Wins: 26 Strike Rate: 47.27% ROI: 125.27% AV SP: 2.65

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £139.00

Doctor Parkes won @ 2.75 ISP (3.10 BSP.)

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Fakenham 14:35:00 - The Society Man - Unplaced

We made a loss of 1 point on the day and have made a loss of 0.4395 points for March.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 0.678 points on the day and have made a loss of 3.116427 points for March.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 0.678 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 0.951573 points for March.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSMar.xls

Something to make you laugh

The Email

One day God was looking down at Earth and saw all of the rascally behavior that was going on.

So he called one of His angels and sent the angel to Earth for a time.

When he returned, he told God, 'Yes, it is bad on Earth; 95% are misbehaving and only 5% are not.'

God thought for a moment and said, 'Maybe I had better send down a second angel to get another opinion.'

So God called another angel and sent him to Earth for a time.

When the angel returned he went to God and said, 'Yes, it's true.The Earth is in decline; 95% are misbehaving, but 5% are being good.'

God was not pleased.

So He decided to e-mail the 5% that were good, because he wanted to encourage them, and give them a little something to help them keep going.

Do you know what the e-mail said?

Okay, I was just wondering, because I didn't get one either.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 42 rated races from six meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards