Morning News

Good morning...

Well, we got it both ways, yesterday.

Another decent day for the top rated horse and...

Two of our three FPS horses won.

Southwell 13:50 - Global Dream - Win Bet - Won @ 3.95

Hexham 14:00 - Kid Valentine - Win Bet - Won @ 2.50

Southwell 14:55 - Giveitachance - Win Bet - Lost

That gave us 6.1275 points returned (after a 5% commission) to 3 points staked.

Not so shabby.

I'd like to thank all of you who have given me feedback. I don't want to over complicated this strategy but...

There is still the question of how many races we should use this strategy for. In other words, should we vary the number of races according to the number of meetings?

Also, what happens if the top rated horse is Kauto Star (with Mr. McCoy sat on top) - surely you wouldn't back the second rated horse in that race.

So, there are some obvious refinements that I shall be looking at.

However, unrefined, this strategy has shown a 40% profit on investment over the last 2 years so I'm tempted to not fiddle with it too much.

Anyway, that's for the future, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 37.04%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 37.04%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 37.04% from all 27 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 50.49 units returned to 79 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -36.09%

Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 27 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 32.86 units returned to 27 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 21.7%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the second rated horses from 26 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 9.13 units returned to 26 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -64.88%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 1 winners from the third rated horses from 26 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 8.5 units returned to 26 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -67.31%

Forecasts

There were 0 forecasts yesterday.

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Southwell 13:50:00 - The CSF paid £8.06

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Southwell 13:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £13.30

Wolverhampton (AW) 14:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £8.30

Winners

From the 27 rated races there were 14 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 2 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Hexham	15:40	See Double You (3)	8.50	10.50
Wolverhampton (AW)	17:30	Nouvelli Dancer (6)	8.50	9.48

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Fairyhouse 15:20:00 - Jack the Wire - Unplaced

We made a loss of 1 point on the day and have made a loss of 10.7285 points for March.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 0.678 points on the day and have made a loss of 13.17015 points for March.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 0.678 points yesterday and we have made a loss of 8.673315 points for March.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSMar.xls

Something to make you laugh

Three from Jill...

Today

Today's early test ratings show 32 rated races from five meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards