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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

Well, I don't know what to say about yesterday.

I don't actually think that there is anything to say.

It's been suggested to me that Saturday's strange results were down to the rain, which caused a change of going at Doncaster.

Perhaps yesterday was similar.

So, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 12.5%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 12.12%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 14.29% from all 35 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 61.81 units returned to 93 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -33.54%

Top Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the top rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 16.15 units returned to 32 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -49.53%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the second rated horses from 30 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 23.56 units returned to 30 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -21.47%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 22.1 units returned to 31 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -28.71%


There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Limerick 14:25:00 - The CSF paid £6.51

Limerick 16:10:00 - The CSF paid £2.45

Reverse Forecasts

There were 5 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Carlisle 14:45:00 - The CSF paid £6.75

Doncaster 14:55:00 - The CSF paid £4.71

Limerick 15:00:00 - The CSF paid £7.82

Ascot 15:10:00 - The CSF paid £1.67

Ascot 17:30:00 - The CSF paid £7.30


There were 2 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Limerick 14:25:00 - The Trifecta paid £31.40

Limerick 16:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £12.10

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Curragh 14:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £15.10

Carlisle 14:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £3.50

Ascot 15:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £1.40


From the 33 rated races there were 15 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 4 of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Ascot 14:00 Dark Flame (4) 9.00 13.00
Carlisle 14:45 Gurkha Brave (2) 6.00 7.00
Ascot 15:45 Big Jim (6) 5.50 6.00
Doncaster 17:45 Alphabetical Order (1) 5.50 6.00

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Limerick 13:55 - Summerhill Lewis - Win Bet - 3rd

2). Ascot 14:00 - Bim Bam Boum - Win Bet - Unplaced

3). Curragh 14:05 - Intensely Focussed - Win bet - Unplaced

4). Carlisle 14:10 - Solway Prince - Place Bet - Unplaced

5). Doncaster 14:20 - Flyboy - Win Bet - 2nd

Place Betting Strategy

Ascot 14:00:00 - Midnight Cowboy - 3rd - Betfair paid 1.66 for the place.
Doncaster 14:20:00 - Jordan James - Unplaced
Doncaster 14:55:00 - Maddy's Dream - Unplaced
Curragh 17:35:00 - The Major General - Unplaced

We made a loss of 2.373 points on the day and have made a profit of 35.002 points for April.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 2.286894 points on the day and have made a profit of 24.436476 points for March.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 2.034 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 24.68937 points for April.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at…

Something to make you laugh


At a college with a shady reputation, the new dean responded to investigations into the basketball team by suspending any basketball player who wasn't maintaining a passing average.

Furious, the coach came storming into the dean's office, followed by one of his star players.

"You can't keep him from playing!" the coach roared. "We won't win this weekend without him!"

"I don't care," the dean said. "Things have gotten out of hand at this college."

"What do you mean, out of hand?" the coach demanded.

"I'll show you what I mean," the dean said. He turned to the basketball player and said, "Tell me,how much is six times seven?"

The player thought for several seconds. Then he said, "Thirty-one?"

The dean turned to the coach and said, "I rest my case."

"Oh, come on now," the coach said. "Why are you making such a big deal of it? After all, he only missed it by one."


Today's early test ratings show 21 rated races from three meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards


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