Morning News

Good morning...

Another strange day where we didn't do so well on the overall ratings but...

We somehow managed to make a profit for the First Page Strategy and,

For the third day in the last four, we made a profit for out Place Betting Strategy.

I would have expected that neither strategy would work if the basic ratings were bad.

Confused? I am.

Well, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 14.29%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 14.29%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 14.29% from all 21 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 34.67 units returned to 62 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -44.08%

Top Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the top rated horses from 21 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 5.55 units returned to 21 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -73.57%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the second rated horses from 20 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 18 units returned to 20 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -10%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 21 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 11.12 units returned to 21 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -47.05%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 14:20:00 - The CSF paid £5.94

Lingfield (AW) 14:50:00 - The CSF paid £9.26

Reverse Forecasts

There were 4 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Wincanton 14:10:00 - The CSF paid £2.22

Warwick 15:30:00 - The CSF paid £9.60

Wincanton 16:10:00 - The CSF paid £25.06

Wincanton 16:40:00 - The CSF paid £6.83

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 14:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £20.80

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Winners

From the 21 rated races there were 11 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 2 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Wincanton	15:10	Native Robin (6)	5.50	6.53
Warwick	17:30	Crank Em Up (2)	5.50	5.80

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Warwick 14:00 - Mercian King - Win Bet - Unplaced

2). Wincanton 14:10 - Via Volupta - Win Bet - 1st @ 2.14

3). Lingfield 14:20 - Decadent Times - Place Bet - 2nd @ 1.91

4). Warwick 14:30 - Cheat the Cheater - Place Bet - NR

3.8475 points (after a 5% commission) was returned to 3 points staked (taking the non-runner into account.)

Place Betting Strategy

Lingfield 14:50:00 - Tessellate - 2nd - Betfair paid 2.66 for the place.

We made a profit of 1.577 points on the day and have made a profit of 36.579 points for April.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 2.138 points on the day and have made a profit of 26.574888 points for March.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 2.138 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 26.827782 points for April.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSApril.xls

Something to make you laugh

Life's Insights

1. "I got kicked out of Riverdance for using my arms." - Michael Flatley (lead Riverdancer)

2. (On the difference between men and women:) "On the one hand, we'll never experience childbirth. On the other hand, we can open all our own jars." - Bruce Willis

3. "And God said: 'Let there be Satan, so people don't blame everything on me. And let there be lawyers, so people don't blame everything on Satan.'" - George Burns

4. "What are the three words guaranteed to humiliate men everywhere? 'Hold my purse.'" - Sandra Bullock

5. "The Web brings people together because no matter what kind of a twisted sexual mutant you happen to be, you've got millions of pals out there. Type in 'Find people that have sex with goats that are on fire' and the computer will ask, 'Specify type of goat.'" - Jason Alexander (from Seinfeld)

6. "Luge strategy? Lie flat and try not to die." - Carmen Boyle (Olympic Luge Gold Medal winner 1996)

7. "There are only two reasons to sit in the back row of an airplane: Either you have diarrhea, or you're anxious to meet people who do." - Henry Kissenger (former US Secretary of State)

8. "My cousin just died. He was only 19. He got stung by a bee - the natural enemy of a tightrope walker." - Dan Rather (News anchorman)

9. "I saw a woman wearing a sweatshirt with 'Guess' on it. I said, 'Thyroid problem?'" - Arnold Schwarzenegger

10. "Honesty is the key to a relationship. If you can fake that, you're in." - Courtney Cox (Monica on "Friends")

11. "Hockey is a sport for white men. Basketball is a sport for black men. Golf is a sport for white men dressed like black pimps." - Tiger Woods

12. "I read somewhere that 77 per cent of all the mentally ill live in poverty. Actually, I'm more intrigued by the 23 per cent who are apparently doing quite well for themselves." - Jerry Garcia (Grateful Dead)

13. "I discovered I scream the same way whether I'm about to be devoured by a Great White or if a piece of seaweed touches my foot." - Axel Rose (Guns'n'Roses)

14. "Capital punishment turns the state into a murderer. But imprisonment turns the state into a gay dungeon-master." - Rev. Jesse Jackson

15. "My mother never saw the irony in calling me a son-of-a-bitch." - Jack Nicholson

Today

Today's early test ratings show 27 rated races from four meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards