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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

Once again, a silly day but...

I think that the secret is knowing where the ratings work and where they don't.

They're obviously better for the first page as yesterday's results show.

That's not to say that they're terrible later on in the day; we seem to do well with the evening AW races but, on difficult days (as yesterday was), the obvious spoils seem to be earlier on in the day.

Yeasterday there were 6 races on the first page.

FPS: 4 selections which gave us 6.2605 points returned for 4 points staked @ a 75% SR.

PBS: 2 selections which gave us 3.363 points returned for 2 points staked @ a 100% SR.

Blindly backing the top rated horse (on the forst page of the ratings): 6 selections which gave us 7.505 points returned for 6 points staked @ a 16.66% SR.

Many people would be happy with what is effectively 12 bets and all the racing done by 14:50.

Overall, 17.1285 points returned for 12 points staked and we've sort of covered all the bases: if the ratings aren't good then we seem to make it up on the PBS and FPS selections.

For the Blindly backing the top rated horse on the first page of the ratings, I'd actually remove all Odds on and Evens FC races as there is still a risk but not much profit to be had.

Yesterday that would have removed 2 races and we would have made (for that strategy) 7.5055 points for 4 points staked.

That would give us a couple of extra points to carry on racing for a bit longer whilst still giving us a decent profit.

And that's just the first page of the ratings!

So, with some clever betting and some clever thinking, even though we didn't do so well for the strike rate for the top rated horse yesterday,

We could still have made a bit of money.

Something to think about?

OK - I'm going to have to show off a little bit!

Please forgive me for what's about to happen...

For our Place Betting Strategy, over the first 5 days of April we have had 12 bets (and, thus, 12 points staked) and have made, to level stakes, 46.01 points profit!

Now, getting 46 points profit in five days after only 12 bets isn't so bad, is it?

So, big head time over...

Let's go and have a more detailed look at yesterday's results...

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 19.23%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 18.52%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.86% from all 28 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 57.11 units returned to 81 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -29.49%

Top Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the top rated horses from 26 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 22.6 units returned to 26 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -13.08%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the second rated horses from 28 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 23.88 units returned to 28 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -14.71%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 27 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 10.63 units returned to 27 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -60.63%


There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Ludlow 17:05:00 - The CSF paid £14.02

Newton Abbot 17:15:00 - The CSF paid £3.69

Reverse Forecasts

There were 2 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Newton Abbot 15:00:00 - The CSF paid £11.65

Ludlow 16:00:00 - The CSF paid £14.72


There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Newton Abbot 17:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £4.50

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.


From the 26 rated races there were 14 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Ludlow 14:50 Toby Lerone (4) 6.50 7.90
Newton Abbot 16:10 Cody Wyoming (1) 5.50 5.81
Ludlow 17:05 Tugboat (1) 7.00 7.76
Ludlow 17:40 King Muro (9) 6.00 6.09
Fairyhouse 18:00 Kara Loca (2) 5.50 6.06

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Newton Abbot 13:50 - Byron Flyer - Win Bet - 1st - Betfair paid 3.05 for the win.

2). Ludlow 14:15 - Beallandendall - Place Bet - 3rd - Betfair paid 1.71 for the place.

3). Newton Abbot 14:25 - Top and Drop - Place Bet - 3rd - Betfair paid 1.83 for the place.

4). Pontefract 14:35 - Four Mile Beach - Win Bet - Unplaced.

6.2605 points (after a 5% commission) was returned to 4 points staked.

Place Betting Strategy

Ludlow 14:15:00 - Beallandendall - 3rd - Betfair paid 1.71 for the place.
Newton Abbot 14:25:00 - Glimpse of Gold Unplaced
Fairyhouse 15:15:00- Aimin for Anna - 3rd - Betfair paid 9.6 for the place.
Fairyhouse 18:00:00 - Kara Loca - 1st - Betfair paid 2.67 for the place.

We made a profit of 9.431 points on the day and have made a profit of 46.01 points for April.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 13.466436 points on the day and have made a profit of 40.041324 points for March.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 12.551814 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 39.379596 points for April.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at…

Something to make you laugh

One from David O.


Just as you can get insurance for cars, property, sports, etc., You can now get insurance for sex!

Make sure you get the correct insurance for the sex you are having. To assist, please find a list of companies catering for most tastes :-

a) Sex with your wife - Legal & General

b) Sex on the telephone - Direct Line

c) Sex with your Partner - Standard Life

d) Sex with someone Different - Go Compare

e) Sex with a lady of generous proportions - More Than

f) Sex On the back seat of a car - Sheila's Wheels

g) Sex with a prostitute - Commercial Union

h) Sex with your daily help - Employer's Liability

i) Sex with an OAP - SAGA

j) Sex resulting in pregnancy - General Accident

and finally………..

k). Sex with a transvestite -

Make sure you are adequately covered!


Today's early test ratings show 35 rated races from five meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards


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