Morning News

Good morning...

I do apologise for the slight lack of a Morning News yesterday.

Once again, I overslept.

I must try harder!

So, a quick round up of yesterday's results...

For the new strategy that I'm working on (backing the top rated horse in every race on the first page of the ratings) we had 3 winners from the first 5 races.

We had 7.239 points returned (after a 5% commission) returned to 5 points staked.

For the First Page Strategy we had 1.6055 points returned (after a 5% commission) returned to 2 points staked.

For the Place Betting Strategy we had 1.6055 points returned (after a 5% commission) returned to 2 points staked.

So, overall, even though 2 strategies made a loss on the day, we, by combining those 3 strategies, we made a profit of 1.49 points (after a 5% commisson) to 9 points staked.

Can't ask anything better than that.

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.08%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.22%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.43% from all 28 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 51.54 units returned to 80 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -35.57%

Top Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the top rated horses from 26 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 14.04 units returned to 26 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -46%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the second rated horses from 27 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 14.5 units returned to 27 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -46.3%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the third rated horses from 27 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 23 units returned to 27 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -14.81%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Beverley 14:00:00 - The CSF paid £11.65

Newmarket 15:20:00 - The CSF paid £1.81

Cheltenham 16:45:00 - The CSF paid £3.16

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Kempton (AW) 21:20:00 - The CSF paid £20.58

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Newmarket 15:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £3.00

Cheltenham 16:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £3.20

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Winners

From the 27 rated races there were 13 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 3 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Cheltenham	14:25	Any Currency (1)	7.00	7.98
Beverley	15:45	Galesburg (4)	6.00	5.77
Beverley	17:30	Fidelma Moon (2)	9.00	10.50

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Beverley 14:00 - School Fete - Place Bet - 2nd - Betfair paid 1.69 for the place.

2). Newmarket 14:45 - Tomily - Win Bet - 3rd.

Place Betting Strategy

Beverley 14:00:00 - School Fete - 2nd - Betfair paid 1.69 for the place.
Newmarket 14:45:00 - Makman - Unplaced

We made a loss of 0.3445 point on the day and have made a profit of 51.6825 points for April.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 0.210858 points on the day and have made a profit of 41.973963 points for March.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 0.678 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 40.951.878 points for April.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSApril.xls

Something to make you laugh

The Monk

A man is driving down the road and his car breaks down near a monastery.

He goes to the monastery, knocks on the door, and says, "My car broke down. Do you think I could stay the night?"

The monks graciously accept him, feed him dinner, and even fix his car. As the man tries to fall asleep, he hears a strange sound. A
sound unlike anything he's ever heard before. The Sirens that nearly seduced Odysseus into crashing his ship comes to his mind. He doesn't sleep that night.

He tosses and turns trying to figure out what could possibly be making such a seductive sound. The next morning, he asks the monks what the sound was, but they say, "We can't tell you. You're not a monk."

Distraught, the man is forced to leave.

Years later, after never being able to forget that sound, the man goes back to the monastery and pleads for the answer again.

The monks reply, "We can't tell you. You're not a monk."

The man says, "If the only way I can find out what is making that beautiful sound is to become a monk, then please, make me a monk."

The monks reply, "You must travel the earth and tell us how many blades of grass there are and the exact number of grains of sand.

When you find these answers, you will have become a monk."

The man sets about his task.

After years of searching he returns as a gray-haired old man and knocks on the door of the monastery. A monk answers. He is taken
before a gathering of all the monks.

"In my quest to find what makes that beautiful sound, I travelled the earth and have found what you asked for: By design, the world is in a state of perpetual change. Only God knows what you ask. All a man can know is himself, and only then if he is honest and reflective and willing to strip away self deception."

The monks reply, "Congratulations. You have become a monk. We shall now show you the way to the mystery of the sacred sound."

The monks lead the man to a wooden door, where the head monk says, "The sound is beyond that door."

The monks give him the key, and he opens the door. Behind the wooden door is another door made of stone. The man is given the key to the stone door and he opens it, only to find a door made of ruby. And so it went that he needed keys to doors of emerald, pearl and diamond.

Finally, they come to a door made of solid gold. The sound has become very clear and definite. The monks say, "This is the last key to the last door."

The man is apprehensive to no end. His life's wish is behind that door!

With trembling hands, he unlocks the door, turns the knob, and slowly pushes the door open. Falling to his knees, he is utterly amazed to discover the source of that haunting and seductive sound...

But, of course, I can't tell you what it is because you're not a monk.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 32 rated races from five meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards