Morning News

Good morning...

Well, not such a good day for the ratings yesterday.

Although we did very well on the forecasts and tricasts.

However, I was far too busy to care.

At 5am my laptop finally died.

It's my main machine (although not my most powerful one) and it's been working hard since I bought it in 2009.

So, there was a mad panic to get my home server reconfigured as a normal machine and get the data off the laptop's hard disk in time to send the ratings out.

I made it, just.

Sometime today I am going to take the laptop into the garden and take a hammer to it; for all the pain it's given me over the last year or so.

We've all got to take our pleasures when we can.

So, rant over, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 20%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 20%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 19.51% from all 41 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 111.58 units returned to 117 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -4.63%

Top Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the top rated horses from 40 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 53.75 units returned to 40 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 34.38%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the second rated horses from 39 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 31.08 units returned to 39 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -20.31%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 38 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 26.75 units returned to 38 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -29.61%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Newton Abbot 14:20:00 - The CSF paid £21.88

Newton Abbot 16:20:00 - The CSF paid £151.69

Windsor 17:50:00 - The CSF paid £4.27

Reverse Forecasts

There were 4 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Hexham 16:35:00 - The CSF paid £2.80

Hexham 17:10:00 - The CSF paid £6.67

Dundalk (AW) 18:30:00 - The CSF paid £4.50

Huntingdon 18:40:00 - The CSF paid £14.49

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Newton Abbot 14:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £52.60

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 5 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Newton Abbot 13:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £14.30

Hexham 15:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £36.70

Newton Abbot 15:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £8.50

Huntingdon 18:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £72.10

Dundalk (AW) 20:30:00 - The Trifecta paid £10.60

Winners

From the 40 rated races there were 21 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 8 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Pontefract	14:10	Springwood (7)	6.50	7.60
Newton Abbot	14:20	Edlomond (6)	6.00	6.54
Hexham	15:30	Beyondtemptation (6)	8.00	9.32
Hexham	16:00	Flaming Thistle (6)	5.50	6.00
Newton Abbot	16:20	Lady Markby (6)	21.00	32.00
Dundalk (AW)	18:00	Ardhoomey (3)	6.00	7.40
Windsor	19:20	Cat Royale (3)	6.50	7.91
Windsor	19:50	Secret Look (13)	10.00	13.00

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Newton Abbot 13:50 - Muffins For Tea - Win Bet - 3rd

2). Hexham 14:00 - Wazowski - Place Bet - Unplaced

3). Pontefract 14:10 - Dusker - Win Bet - Unplaced

4). Newton Abbot 14:20 - Pembroke House - Win Bet - 2nd

5). Pontefract 14:40 - Memory Cloth - Place Bet - Unplaced

6). Newton Abbot 14:50 - The Missus - Win Bet - 2nd

Place Betting Strategy

Huntingdon 17:05:00 - Will Othe West - 2nd - Betfair paid 1.65 for the place.
Huntingdon 17:40:00 - Goldray - 3rd - Betfair paid 2.48 for the place.
Windsor 17:50:00 - Earthwindorfire - Unplaced

We made a profit of 1.0.235 points on the day and have made a profit of 53.4035 points for April.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 1.647201 points on the day and have made a profit of 45.245313 points for March.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 1.228536 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 41.859381 points for April.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSApril.xls

Something to make you laugh

White Hairs

One day a little girl was sitting and watching her mother do the dishes at the kitchen sink.

She suddenly noticed that her mother had several strands of white hair sticking out in contrast on her brunette head.

She looked at her mother and inquisitively asked, "Why are some of your hairs white, Mom?"

Her mother replied, "Well, every time that you do something wrong and make me cry or unhappy, one of my hairs turns white."

The little girl thought about this revelation for a while and then said, "Momma, how come ALL of grandma's hairs are white?"

Today

Today's early test ratings show 34 rated races from five meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards