Morning News

Good morning...

Well, I can't really complain about yesterday.

We got a reasonable strike rate and...

Our three combined strategies returned 17.0165 points to 14 points staked.

There was one big Trifecta and a couple of decent combination Trifectas which sort of shows that we're on the right track.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25.58%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25.53%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.45% from all 49 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 96.86 units returned to 135 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -28.25%

Top Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the top rated horses from 43 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 44.83 units returned to 43 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 4.26%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the second rated horses from 45 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 35.03 units returned to 45 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -22.16%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the third rated horses from 47 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17 units returned to 47 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -63.83%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Limerick 13:55:00 - The CSF paid £19.22

Wolverhampton (AW) 18:20:00 - The CSF paid £18.21

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Sandown 14:55:00 - The CSF paid £9.18

Sandown 15:35:00 - The CSF paid £2.86

Ripon 16:55:00 - The CSF paid £2.00

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Wolverhampton (AW) 18:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £89.30

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Leicester 16:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £302.60

Wolverhampton (AW) 20:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £56.10

Winners

From the 47 rated races there were 22 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 7 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Sandown	14:55	Menorah (1)	6.00	7.52
Ripon	15:15	Treasury Notes (11)	7.00	8.14
Leicester	16:35	Poets Beauty (4)	7.00	9.00
Leicester	17:10	Imperial Aviator (3)	11.00	16.00
Wolverhampton (AW)	18:20	Mr Christopher (5)	6.00	6.24
Doncaster	19:05	Arcanada (3)	10.00	10.50
Wolverhampton (AW)	20:20	Off The Pulse (2)	6.00	6.79

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Haydock 13:40 - Daphne - Win Bet - 3rd

2). Limerick 13:55 - Vocal Experience - Place Bet - 2nd - Betfair paid 5.5 for the place.

3). Leicester 14:15 - Borough Boy - Place Bet - Unplaced

4). Limerick 14:30 - Flying Fairies - Place Bet - 3rd - 2.97

So, we had 4 bets and we made 8.0465 points (after commission) to 4 points bet.

New Strategy

For the new strategy of blindly backing the top rated horse on the first page of the ratings we had the following results...

1). Haydock 13:40 - Gunnery - 1st @ 2.79

2). Limerick 13:55 - Maneen - 1st @ 2.62

3). Haydock 14:10 - Predominance - 1st @ 5.40

4). Leicester 14:15 - Sir Billy Wright - Unplaced

5). Sandown 14:20 - Tommy Silver - 3rd

6). Limerick 14:30 - Calinforniadreaming - 4th

So, we had 6 bets and we made 10.2695 points (after commission) to 6 points bet.

Place Betting Strategy

Haydock 13:40:00 - Kaatskill Nap - Unplaced
Limerick 14:30:00 - Flying Fairies - 3rd - Betfair paid 2.79 for the place.
Haydock 14:45:00 - Tiga Tuan - Unplaced
Doncaster 18:35:00 - Back to Bond - Unplaced

We made a loss of 1.2995 points on the day and have made a profit of 62.472 points for April.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 0.406122 points on the day and have made a profit of 53.737941 points for March.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 0.406122 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 49.991313 points for April.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSApril.xls

Something to make you laugh

Red Ears

A blonde with two red ears went to her doctor.

The doctor asked her what had happened to her ears and she answered, "I was ironing a shirt and the phone rang - but instead of picking up the phone I accidentally picked up the iron and stuck it to my ear."

"Oh Dear!" the doctor exclaimed in disbelief.

"But, what happened to your other ear?"

"The jerk called back!"

Today

Today's early test ratings show 23 rated races from three meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards