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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

Well, it looks like you guys had a good bank holiday yesterday.

The results from the ratings were pretty decent and...

After a losing run of one day, our Place Betting Strategy is now back in profit for the month.

Seriously, yesterday was the first day since early April when I've looked at the results and felt quite comfortable.

This time if the year is difficult but yesterday seemed to me as if we'd turned a corner.

Now, that's jinxed things, hasn't it?

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 27.08%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25.49%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25% from all 52 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 127.02 units returned to 148 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -14.18%

Top Rated Horse - There were 13 winners from the top rated horses from 48 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 57.94 units returned to 48 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 20.71%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the second rated horses from 53 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 21.38 units returned to 53 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -59.66%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the third rated horses from 47 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 47.7 units returned to 47 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 1.49%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Warwick 13:00:00 - The CSF paid £12.66

Beverley 13:45:00 - The CSF paid £1.97

Windsor 15:25:00 - The CSF paid £7.74

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Beverley 16:40:00 - The CSF paid £35.55

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Curragh 16:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £46.90

Winners

From the 49 rated races there were 25 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 9 of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Warwick 12:30 Marquis Of Carabas (8) 7.00 7.40
Curragh 14:25 Sors (9) 9.00 9.15
Warwick 14:35 Long Lunch (1) 9.00 10.50
Beverley 14:55 First Bombardment (6) 6.50 8.11
Beverley 16:05 Rousayan (7) 7.00 7.92
Warwick 16:20 All Riled Up (9) 15.00 14.12
Beverley 16:40 All You (1) 6.00 7.20
Down Royal 16:55 El Grande (2) 5.50 6.40
Bath 17:25 Indira (4) 8.00 10.00

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Flat Big Field Maiden Favs - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Maiden Race and Runners was equal to or more than 16 and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite

Selection = Back to ISP - Curragh - 17:50:00 - Footbridge (7)

Races (over last year): 24 Wins: 9 Strike Rate: 37.50% ROI: 132.38% AV SP: 3.53

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £77.70

Footbridge came nowhere in this 18 runner race.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Warwick 12:30 - Beggars Cross - Win Bet - Unplaced

2). Warwick 13:00 - Kaddys Dream - Place Bet - 2nd - Betfair paid 3.57 for the place.

3). Warwick 13:30 - Oficial Ben - Win Bet - Unplaced

4). Beverley 13:45 - Laceys Lane - Win Bet - 2nd

5). Curragh 13:50 - Peace Envoy - Win Bet - 2nd

Place Betting Strategy

Warwick 13:00:00 - Kaddy's Dream - 2nd - Betfair paid 3.57 for the place.
Down Royal 14:05:00 - Areema - Unplaced
Kempton 14:10:00 - Thomas Blossom - Unplaced
Windsor 14:50:00 - Bigger and Better - Unplaced
Kempton 15:20:00 - Glengra - 2nd - Betfair paid 2.24 for the place.
Windsor 15:25:00 - Silk Cravat - 2nd - Betfair paid 1.80 for the place.

We made a profit of 1.3795 points on the day and have made a profit of 0.0635 points for May.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 2.427918 points on the day and have made a profit of 1.785174 points for May.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 2.753358 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 0.719358 points for April.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSMay.xls

Something to make you laugh

The Skin Graft

A married couple was in a terrible accident where the man's face was severely burned.

The doctor told the husband that they couldn't graft any skin from his body because he was too skinny.

So the wife offered to donate some of her own skin.

However, the only skin on her body that the doctor felt was suitable would have to come from her buttocks.

The husband and wife agreed that they would tell no one about where the skin came from, and they requested that the doctor also honor their secret.

After all, this was a very delicate matter.

After the surgery was completed, everyone was astounded at the man's new face.

He looked more handsome than he ever had before!

All his friends and relatives just went on and on about his youthful beauty!

One day, he was alone with his wife, and he was overcome with emotion at her sacrifice.

He said, "Dear, I just want to thank you for everything you did for me. How can I possibly repay you?"

"My darling," she replied, "I get all the thanks I need every time I see your mother kiss you on the cheeks."

Today

Today's early test ratings show 38 rated races from six meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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