Morning News

Good morning...

It's hard to criticise yesterday's results.

Sure, the strike rate for the top rated horse wasn't so spectacular but...

Had you done the forecast in every race you would have made a small profit.

The First Page Strategy returned 5.6905 points (after a 5% deduction) to 4 points staked.

Nothing really stands out; good or bad.

So, not too unhappy - just an average day, in other words.

Tomorrow is another Bank Holiday here in France and, thus, there will be no morning news. I'm off early to a village fete.

Be warned, next Sunday is also a bank holiday (and the Sunday and Monday after that, come to think of it!)

Anyway, enough of the 10,000 bank holidays we have in May, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.22%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.05%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.05% from all 38 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 66.35 units returned to 107 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -37.99%

Top Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the top rated horses from 36 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 22.3 units returned to 36 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -38.06%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the second rated horses from 38 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 35.35 units returned to 38 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -6.97%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 8.7 units returned to 33 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -73.64%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Brighton 14:20:00 - The CSF paid £1.63

Brighton 16:55:00 - The CSF paid £33.89

Catterick 20:25:00 - The CSF paid £5.94

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Fakenham 14:00:00 - The CSF paid £8.70

Sedgefield 16:15:00 - The CSF paid £6.27

Exeter 18:15:00 - The CSF paid £3.33

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Catterick 20:25:00 - The Trifecta paid £15.70

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Catterick 18:25:00 - The Trifecta paid £20.70

Winners

From the 37 rated races there were 19 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 3 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Brighton	16:55	Hawk Moth (6)	6.00	6.90
Brighton	17:25	Whitecrest (3)	8.00	10.00
Exeter	19:45	Sonoftheking (7)	6.00	5.97

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Fakenham 14:00 - Kudu Country - Win Bet - 1st @4.93 BSP.

2). Sedgefield 14:10 - Kilronan Castle - Win Bet - Unplaced

3). Brighton 14:20 - Assassinate - Place Bet - 2nd @ 1.06 BSP.

4). Fakenham 15:00 - Hollow Bay - Win Bet - Unplaced

Place Betting Strategy

Fakenham 14:00:00 - Scoppio del Carro - Unplaced
Fakenham 16:35:00 - Relkwood - Unplaced
Ballinrobe 17:35:00 - Corri Lindo - Unplaced
Exeter 17:45:00 - Ninepointsix - 2nd - Betfair paid 1.36 for the place.
Exeter 18:15:00 - Wun Destination -Unplaced
Ballinrobe 20:35:00 - Slippery Serpent - 3rd - Betfair paid 2.08 for the place.

We made a loss of 2.632 points on the day and have made a loss of 2.5685 points for May.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 0.856992 points on the day and have made a profit of 0.928182 points for May.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 0.642744 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 0.076614 points for April.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSMay.xls

Something to make you laugh

Job Interview

A mathematician, an accountant and an economist apply for the same job.

The interviewer calls in the mathematician and asks "What do two plus two equal?"

The mathematician replies "Four."

The interviewer asks "Four, exactly?"

The mathematician looks at the interviewer incredulously and says

"Yes, four, exactly."

Then the interviewer calls in the accountant and asks the same question

"What do two plus two equal?"

The accountant says "On average, four - give or take ten percent, but on average, four."

Then the interviewer calls in the economist and poses the same question

"What do two plus two equal?"

The economist gets up, locks the door, closes the shade, sits down next to the interviewer and says "What do you want it to equal?"

Today

Today's early test ratings show 42 rated races from six meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards