Morning News

Good morning...

I gave up watching the results coming in after the first three meetings.

I have to admit that it looked like being a pretty dire day.

So, imagine my surprise this morning when I discovered that the later meetings saved the day, quite literally.

Alright, a 24% strike rate for the top rated horse is nothing to write home about but...

Our Banker's Bet won,

We made a small profit from our First Page Strategy and,

We made 8 points from 7 bets for our Place Betting Strategy.

So, overall, not such a bad day.

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 24%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.53%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25.93% from all 54 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 157.22 units returned to 140 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 12.3%

Top Rated Horse - There were 12 winners from the top rated horses from 50 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 39.04 units returned to 50 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -21.92%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the second rated horses from 42 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 37.7 units returned to 42 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -10.24%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 12 winners from the third rated horses from 48 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 80.48 units returned to 48 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 67.67%

Forecasts

There were 5 forecasts yesterday.

Cork 17:35:00 - The CSF paid £2.35

Nottingham 17:40:00 - The CSF paid £6.24

Nottingham 18:45:00 - The CSF paid £5.35

Nottingham 19:50:00 - The CSF paid £13.12

Ripon 20:30:00 - The CSF paid £8.84

Reverse Forecasts

There were 4 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Market Rasen 14:20:00 - The CSF paid £5.05

Chester 15:10:00 - The CSF paid £5.28

Chester 15:45:00 - The CSF paid £7.46

Lingfield (AW) 16:05:00 - The CSF paid £5.71

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Nottingham 19:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £17.43

Combination Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Market Rasen 13:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £13.70

Market Rasen 14:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £5.00

Downpatrick 20:35:00 - The Trifecta paid £53.80

Winners

From the 51 rated races there were 33 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 10 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Lingfield (AW)	14:00	First Experience (5)	8.00	8.20
Lingfield (AW)	14:30	Happy Call (4)	5.50	6.83
Lingfield (AW)	15:35	Very Honest (12)	7.00	7.06
Market Rasen	15:55	Marjus Quest (3)	9.00	9.75
Chester	16:20	Khelman (10)	6.50	6.65
Chester	17:20	Indira (5)	8.00	9.86
Downpatrick	17:55	Mystic Princess (5)	8.00	8.64
Ripon	18:55	Straightothepoint (11)	15.00	20.55
Ripon	19:30	Dance King (6)	17.00	23.64
Cork	20:15	Glendine River (11)	6.50	7.20

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Flat Big Field Maiden Favs - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Maiden Race and Runners was equal to or more than 16 and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite

Selection = Back to ISP - Nottingham - 18:10:00 - Snow Moon (15)

Races (over last year): 24 Wins: 9 Strike Rate: 37.50% ROI: 132.38% AV SP: 3.53

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £77.70

Snow Moon won @ 1/1 ISP (2.1 BSP.)

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Lingfield (AW) 13:30 - Sherdat - Win Bet - NR

2). Market Rasen 13:50 - Ballycamp - Place Bet - 3rd (only 7 runners.)

3). Market Rasen 14:20 - Mystic Sky - Win Bet - 1st @ 2.86 BSP.

Place Betting Strategy

Downpatrick 17:20:00 - Twilight Shadow - 2nd - Betfair paid 2.3 for the place
Cork 18:05:00 - Jewelled Prince - 3rd - Betfair paid 5.5 for the place
Ascot 18:30:00 - Aspen Again - Unplaced
Cork 19:10:00 - Robbina - 3rd - Btefair paid 3.9 for the place
Cork 20:15:00 - Bien Well - Unplaced
Ripon 20:30:00 - Silver Streak - 2nd - Betfair paid 1.49 for the place
Downpatrick 20:35:00 - River Dun - 3rd - Betfair paid 2.58 for the place

We made a profit of 8.2315 points on the day and have made a profit of 9.7115 points for May.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 9.812694 points on the day and have made a profit of 12.689787 points for May.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 9.181476 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 12.563001 points for May.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSMay.xls

Something to make you laugh

Harley-Davidson

The inventor of the Harley-Davidson motorcycle, Arthur Davidson, died and went to heaven.

At the pearly gates, St. Peter told Arthur, "Since you've been such a good man and your motorcycles have changed the world, Your reward is, you can hang out with anyone you want in Heaven."

Arthur thought about this for a minute and then said, "I want to hang out with God."

St. Peter took Arthur to the Throne Room and introduced him to God.

God recognized Arthur and commented, "Okay, so you were the one who invented the Harley Davidson motorcycle?"

Arthur said, "Yep, that's me."

God said, "Well, what's the big deal in inventing something that's pretty unstable, makes noise and pollution and can't run without a road?"

Arthur was apparently embarrassed, but finally he said, "Excuse me, but aren't you the inventor of woman?"

God said, "Yes."

"Well," said Arthur, "professional to professional, you have some
major design flaws in your invention:

1. There's too much inconsistency in the front-end protrusions;
2. It chatters constantly at high speeds;
3. Most of the rear ends are too soft and wobble too much;
4. The intake is placed way too close to the exhaust;
5. And the maintenance costs are enormous!""Hmmmmm, you have some good points there," replied God, "hold on."

God went to His Celestial super computer, typed in some key words And waited for the results. The computer printed out a slip of paper and God read it.

"Well, it may be true that my invention is flawed," God said to Arthur, "but according to these statistics, more men are riding my invention than yours."

Today

Today's early test ratings show 54 rated races from eight meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards