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Good morning...
A so, so day, yesterday.
Our First Page Strategy returned 5.643 points (after commission) to 2 points staked.
We made a small loss on the Place Betting Strategy but we are still well in profit.
However, to my eyes, there were no stand out races...
Even though there were six meetings.
Anyway, let's see what today brings so, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.08%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.95%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 20.45% from all 44 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 83.74 units returned to 109 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -23.17%
Top Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the top rated horses from 39 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 33.31 units returned to 39 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -14.59%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the second rated horses from 37 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 33.18 units returned to 37 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -10.32%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17.25 units returned to 33 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -47.73%
Forecasts
There were 4 forecasts yesterday.
Lingfield (AW) 16:00:00 - The CSF paid £3.05
Worcester 16:40:00 - The CSF paid £25.96
Naas 17:40:00 - The CSF paid £2.48
Naas 18:40:00 - The CSF paid £4.79
Reverse Forecasts
There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.
York 15:45:00 - The CSF paid £3.15
Naas 19:40:00 - The CSF paid £7.54
Perth 19:50:00 - The CSF paid £3.80
Tricasts/Trifectas
There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.
Lingfield (AW) 16:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £3.90
Combination Tricasts/Trifectas
There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.
York 15:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £22.10
Winners
From the 41 rated races there were 20 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 4 of those were at nice prices.
Course | Time | Horse | ISP | BSP |
Worcester | 16:40 | Hold Court (6) | 9.00 | 9.44 |
Bath | 18:30 | Pack It In (9) | 7.00 | 8.20 |
Naas | 20:40 | Planchart (14) | 10.00 | 14.06 |
Perth | 20:50 | Maraweh (1) | 7.00 | 7.56 |
There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.
On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.
You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.
If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.
1). Worcester 14:00 - Thoonavolla - Win Bet - 1st @ 3.63 BSP.
2). Worcester 14:30 - Lord Landen - Place Bet - 2nd @ 2.31 BSP.
Worcester 16:10:00 - Athou du Nord - NR
Worcester 17:10:00 - Hannah just Hannah - 3rd - Betfair paid 1.67 for the place.
Perth 17:50:00 - Christmas in USA - Unplaced
We made a loss of 0.3635 points on the day and have made a profit of 7.0645 points for May.
For the new strategy we made a loss of 0.492906 points on the day and have made a profit of 9.738453 points for May.
I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.
For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 1.356 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 6.964416 points for May.
The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSMay.xls
Stress Management
Having a rough day?
Just in case you've had a rough day, here's a stress management technique recommended in all the latest psychological texts.
The funny thing is that it really works.
1. Picture yourself near a stream.
2. Birds are softly chirping in the cool mountain air.
3. No one but you knows your secret place.
4. You are in total seclusion from the hectic place called "the world,".
5. The soothing sound of a gentle waterfall fills the air with a cascade of serenity.
6. The water is crystal clear.
7. You can easily make out the face of the person you're holding underwater.
8. See, you're smiling already.
Today's early test ratings show 36 rated races from six meetings.
Have a great day's racing!
As always...
My kindest regards
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