Morning News

Good morning...

I kind of knew that yesterday was going to be a pretty stonkingly amazingly good day.

The subtle clue was the first rated race of the day, the 14:10 at York...

This was a 17 runner handicap and we got the forecast; the CSF paid £60.60

So, the First Page Strategy was a washout but that happens.

However, had you blindly backed the top rated horse in every race on the first page of the normal ratings, you would have had 15.3805 points returned (after commission) to 6 points staked.

Our Place Betting Strategy gave us 2.8 points profit and we are 11 points in profit after the first 12 days of the month.

Our Banker's Bet won as well!

However, it's not all good news...

The script that updates the prices has failed - it could be a Betfair interface problem - so I can't report on the prices of the winners. I am working on a fix for that right now.

So, moving on, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 43.75%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 41.67%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 36.36% from all 44 Races (including previously unrated races.)

Forecasts

There were 4 forecasts yesterday.

York 14:10:00 - The CSF paid £60.60

Fontwell 19:05:00 - The CSF paid £8.67

Newmarket 19:20:00 - The CSF paid £9.57

Tipperary 19:30:00 - The CSF paid £8.75

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Fontwell 18:00:00 - The CSF paid £15.64

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Perth 15:25:00 - The Trifecta paid £23.00

Winners

From the 36 rated races there were 20 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.)

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet ( but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Flat Big Field Maiden Favs - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Maiden Race and Runners was equal to or more than 16 and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite

Selection = Back to ISP - Newmarket - 19:20:00 - Summer Icon (17)

Races (over last year): 25 Wins: 10 Strike Rate: 40.00% ROI: 126.80% AV SP: 3.17

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £67.00

Summer Icon won (of course) @ 5/4 ISP (2.38 BSP.)

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Perth 14:15 - Outlaw Josey Wales - Win Bet - Unplaced

2). Salisbury 14:25 - Purple Magic - Win Bet - Unplaced

3). Perth 14:50 - Dancing Meadows - Win Bet - Unplaced

4). Salisbury 15:00 - Hold Hands - Place Bet - Unplaced

Place Betting Strategy

Perth 14:15:00 Grexit - 3rd - Betfair paid 2.28 for the place.
Salisbury 15:00:00 - Hold Hands - Unplaced
Salisbury 15:35:00 - Denham Sound - Unplaced
Newmarket 18:15:00 - Lexington Law - 2nd - Betfair paid 5.9 for the place.
Fontwell 20:15:00 - Gentle Duke - Unplaced

We made a profit of 2.871 points on the day and have made a profit of 11.1515 points for May.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 0.590538 points on the day and have made a profit of 10.328991 points for May.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 0.590538 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 7.554954 points for May.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSMay.xls

Something to make you laugh

A couple from Lee...

The Right Choice?

An aeroplane was about to crash; there were five passengers on board but only four parachutes.

The first passenger Holly Madison said, "I have my own reality show and I am the smartest and prettiest woman at Playboy, so Americans don't want me to die."

She took the first parachute and jumped out of the plane.

The second passenger John McCain said, "I'm a senator and a decorated war hero from an elite navy unit in the United States of America."

He grabbed the second pack and jumped.

The third passenger, Donald Trump, said, "I am going to be the next president of the United States, I am the smartest man in our country and I will make America great again."

So he grabbed the pack next to him and jumped out.

The fourth passenger, Billy Graham, said to the fifth passenger, a ten year old schoolgirl, "I have lived a full life and served my God the best I could. I will sacrifice my life and let you have the last parachute."

The little girl said, "That's okay, Mr Graham. There's a parachute left for you. The smartest man in America took my schoolbag."

Acceptable use of the F Word?

There are only ten times in history where the"F"word has been considered acceptable for use. They are as follows:

10. "What the @#$% do you mean, we are sinking?"
-- Capt. E.J. Smith of RMS Titanic, 1912

9. "What the @#$% was that?"
-- Mayor Of Hiroshima, 1945

8. "Where did all those @#$%ing Indians come from?"
-- Custer, 1877

7. "Any @#$%ing idiot could understand that."
-- Einstein, 1938

6 . "It does so @#$%ing look like her!"
-- Picasso, 1926

5 . "How the @#$% did you work that out?"
-- Pythagoras, 126 BC

4. "You want WHAT on the @#$%ing ceiling?"
-- Michelangelo, 1566

3. "Where the @#$% are we?"
-- Amelia Earhart, 1937

2. "Scattered @#$%ing showers?
-- Noah, 4314 BC

1. "Aw c'mon. Who the @#$% is going to find out?"
-- Bill Clinton, 1998

Today

Today's early test ratings show 47 rated races from seven meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards