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Morning News – This time with the Something to make you laugh bit included!

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

Yesterday was the sort of day when I wished that I had stayed in bed all day.

A terrible start to the day with not one winner from the first three pages of the ratings.

Our First Page Strategy did nothing at all and...

Even our Place Betting Strategy made a slight loss; although we are still in profit for the month for the basic strategy.

I actually felt quite relieved when we ended up with a 16.67% strike rate (for our top rated horse.)

However, if I can crow about the 40% strike rate days i equally have to put my hands up when we do less well.

At least our Banker's Bet won.

Anyway, enough of the moping, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 16.67%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 15%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 16.67% from all 42 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 71.09 units returned to 105 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -32.3%

Top Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the top rated horses from 36 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 13.84 units returned to 36 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -61.56%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the second rated horses from 35 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 29.25 units returned to 35 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -16.43%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 28 units returned to 34 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -17.65%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Worcester 17:25:00 - The CSF paid £5.82

Ripon 19:50:00 - The CSF paid £4.10

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Lingfield 14:00:00 - The CSF paid £3.51

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Winners

From the 40 rated races there were 17 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 6 of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Lingfield 15:05 Saumur (8) 6.00 6.98
Lingfield 16:10 Flying Fantasy (5) 6.50 7.54
Clonmel 17:00 Sarah Joyce (14) 5.50 6.68
Ripon 18:45 Arcamist (1) 8.00 9.37
Clonmel 19:05 You Cant Catch Me (3) 9.00 12.00
Clonmel 20:10 Oisin James (10) 5.50 6.40

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Flat Big Field Maiden Favs - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Maiden Race and Runners was equal to or more than 16 and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite

Selection = Back to ISP - Sandown - 20:00:00 - Shabeeb (13)

Races (over last year): 25 Wins: 10 Strike Rate: 40.00% ROI: 112.00% AV SP: 2.80

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £30.00

Shabeeb won @ 2/1 (3.28 BSP.)

Chancers Bet = Unique Jockey and Trainer - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and where Position last time out = Unplaced and Horse was NOT a Course Winner and Horse was NOT a Distance Winner and Horse had a Unique Jockey and Horse had a Unique trainer and Horse has NOT changed in Class

Selection = Back to ISP - Ripon - 18:45:00 - Dot Green (2)

Races (over last year): 12 Wins: 3 Strike Rate: 25.00% ROI: 129.25AV SP: 5.17

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £35.10

Dot Green came 2nd.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Goodwood 13:50 - Son Castello - Place Bet - Unplaced

2). Lingfield 14:30 - Sherdat - Win Bet - Unplaced

3). Worcester 14:40 - Fight Commander - Place Bet - Unplaced

4). Goodwood 14:55 - Brittleton - Place Bet - Unplaced

Place Betting Strategy

Lingfield 14:30:00 - Intimidator - Unplaced
Worcester 16:20:00 - Barman - 1st - Betfair paid 1.39 for the place.
Goodwood 16:35:00 - Pleasure Dome - 2nd - Betfair paid 3.50 for the place.
Clonmel 17:00:00 - Una's Pleasure - Unplaced
Clonmel 20:45:00 - Court Martialed - Unplaced

We made a loss of 0.2545 points on the day and have made a profit of 1.9315 points for May.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 0.850551 points on the day and have made a profit of 2.558772 points for May.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 0.25425 points yesterday and we have made a loss of 2.865567 points for May.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSMay.xls

Something to make you laugh

Hollywood Squares

These great questions and answers are from the days when ' Hollywood Squares' game show responses were spontaneous, not scripted, as they are now. Peter Marshall was the host asking the questions, of course..

Q.. Paul, what is a good reason for pounding meat?
A. Paul Lynde: Loneliness!
(The audience laughed so long and so hard it took up almost 15 minutes of the show!)

Q. Do female frogs croak?
A. Paul Lynde: If you hold their little heads under water long enough.

Q. If you're going to make a parachute jump, at least how high should you be
A. Charley Weaver: Three days of steady drinking should do it..

Q. True or False, a pea can last as long as 5,000 years.
A. George Gobel: Boy, it sure seems that way sometimes.

Q. You've been having trouble going to sleep. Are you probably a man or a woman?
A. Don Knotts: That's what's been keeping me awake.

Q. According to Cosmopolitan, if you meet a stranger at a party and you think that he is attractive, is it okay to come out and ask him if he's married?
A.. Rose Marie: No wait until morning.

Q. Which of your five senses tends to diminish as you get older?
A. Charley Weaver: My sense of decency..

Q. In Hawaiian, does it take more than three words to say 'I Love You'?
A. Vincent Price: No, you can say it with a pineapple and a twenty..

Q. What are 'Do It,' 'I Can Help,' and 'I Can't Get Enough'?
A. George Gobel: I don't know, but it's coming from the next apartment.

Q. As you grow older, do you tend to gesture more or less with your hands while talking?
A. Rose Marie: You ask me one more growing old question Peter, and I'll give you a gesture you'll never forget.

Q. Paul, why do Hell's Angels wear leather?
A. Paul Lynde: Because chiffon wrinkles too easily.

Q. Charley, you've just decided to grow strawberries. Are you going to get any during the first year?
A.. Charley Weaver: Of course not, I'm too busy growing strawberries.

Q. In bowling, what's a perfect score?
A. Rose Marie: Ralph, the pin boy.

Q. It is considered in bad taste to discuss two subjects at nudist camps. One is politics, what is the other?
A. Paul Lynde: Tape measures.

Q. During a tornado, are you safer in the bedroom or in the closet?
A. Rose Marie: Unfortunately Peter, I'm always safe in the bedroom.

Q. Can boys join the Camp Fire Girls?
A. Marty Allen: Only after lights out.

Q. When you pat a dog on its head he will wag his tail. What will a goose do?
A. Paul Lynde: Make him bark?

Q. If you were pregnant for two years, what would you give birth to?
A. Paul Lynde: Whatever it is, it would never be afraid of the dark.

Q. According to Ann Landers, is there anything wrong with getting into the habit of kissing a lot of people?
A. Charley Weaver: It got me out of the army.

Q. It is the most abused and neglected part of your body, what is it?
A. Paul Lynde: Mine may be abused, but it certainly isn't neglected..

Q. Back in the old days, when Great Grandpa put horseradish on his head, what was he trying to do?
A. George Gobel: Get it in his mouth.

Q. Who stays pregnant for a longer period of time, your wife or your elephant?
A. Paul Lynde: Who told you about my elephant?

Q. When a couple have a baby, who is responsible for its sex?
A.. Charley Weaver: I'll lend him the car, the rest is up to him

Q. Jackie Gleason recently revealed that he firmly believes in them and has actually seen them on at least two occasions. What are they?
A. Charley Weaver: His feet.

Q.According to Ann Landers, what are two things you should never do in bed?
A. Paul Lynde: Point and laugh

Today

Today's early test ratings show 52 rated races from eight meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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