Morning News

Good morning...

A beautiful day kept me away from the computer yesterday.

So, it was a pleasant surprise to see the results,

Which look like giving us a nice end to a difficult month.

It always comes as a surprise at the number of non runners which seem to pop up from May onwards.

Anyway, mustn't get grumpy about that, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 29.03%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 28.13% from all 32 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 112.16 units returned to 84 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 33.52%

Top Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the top rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 30.65 units returned to 31 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -1.13%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the second rated horses from 27 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 30.13 units returned to 27 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 11.59%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the third rated horses from 26 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 51.38 units returned to 26 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 97.62%

Forecasts

There were 0 forecasts yesterday.

Reverse Forecasts

There were 2 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Kelso 15:00:00 - The CSF paid £7.14

Fontwell 17:00:00 - The CSF paid £15.33

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Kelso 15:35:00 - The Trifecta paid £52.70

Fontwell 16:30:00 - The Trifecta paid £45.70

Winners

From the 32 rated races there were 21 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 8 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Fontwell	14:50	Sir Dylan (1)	5.50	7.20
Uttoxeter	15:45	Ballinure (6)	6.00	7.11
Naas	16:15	Only Mine (7)	17.00	32.13
Uttoxeter	16:20	Minella Present (11)	10.00	11.88
Fontwell	16:30	Very Extravagant (4)	5.50	5.98
Uttoxeter	16:50	Perspicace (1)	8.50	9.34
Fontwell	17:00	Vexillum (1)	5.50	5.92
Naas	17:45	Red Aggressor (7)	15.00	N/K

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Flat Big Field Maiden Favs - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Maiden Race and Runners was equal to or more than 16 and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite

Selection = Back to ISP - Naas - 14:05:00 - Cry Me A River (7)

Races (over last year): 26 Wins: 11 Strike Rate: 42.31% ROI: 119.31% AV SP: 2.82

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £50.20

Cry me a river came 2nd.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Fontwell 13:50 - Le Capricieux - Place Bet - NR

2). Kelso 14:00 - Lycidas - Win Bet - 1st @ 2.5 BSP.

3). Uttoxeter 14:10 - Preseli Rock - Win Bet - 1st @ 2.31 BSP.

4). Kelso 14:30 - Wot A Shot - Win Bet - 3rd.

5). Naas 14:35 - Yuften - Win Bet - Unplaced.

Place Betting Strategy

Fontwell 13:50:00 - Le Capricieux - NR
Kelso 14:00:00 - Desert Island Dusk - Unplaced
Uttoxeter 15:15:00 - Romanee Vivant - Unplaced
Kelso 17:10:00 - Kitty Fisher - Unplaced

We made a loss of 3 points on the day and have made a loss of 10.935 points for May.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 2.712 points on the day and have made a loss of 10.611717 points for May.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 2.034 points yesterday and we have made a loss of 16.791009 points for May.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSMay.xls

Something to make you laugh

Beethoven

When Beethoven passed away, he was buried in a churchyard.

A couple days later, the town drunk was walking through the cemetery and heard some strange noise coming from the area where Beethoven was buried.

Terrified, the drunk ran and got the priest to come and listen to it.

The priest bent close to the grave and heard some faint, unrecognizable music coming from the grave. Frightened, the priest ran and got the town magistrate.

When the magistrate arrived, he bent his ear to the grave, listened for a moment, and said, "Ah, yes, that's Beethoven's Ninth Symphony, being played backwards."

He listened a while longer, and said, "There's the Eighth Symphony, and it's backwards, too. Most puzzling."

So the magistrate kept listening; "There's the Seventh... the Sixth... the Fifth..."

Suddenly the realization of what was happening dawned on the magistrate; he stood up and announced to the crowd that had gathered in the cemetery, "My fellow citizens, there's nothing to worry about. It's just Beethoven decomposing."

Today

Today's early test ratings show 43 rated races from six meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards