Morning News

Good morning...

Not such a wonderful start to the month of June but...

We did have a blistering day with the Place Betting Strategy.

And there were some serious numbers with the combination trifectas.

So, all is not lost.

Just a little bit misplaced.

So, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.65%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.95%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.07% from all 41 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 56.67 units returned to 103 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -44.98%

Top Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the top rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 20.3 units returned to 34 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -40.29%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 35 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 14.87 units returned to 35 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -57.51%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 21.5 units returned to 34 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -36.76%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Fontwell 14:10:00 - The CSF paid £2.97

Fontwell 16:40:00 - The CSF paid £8.29

Reverse Forecasts

There were 2 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Fontwell 15:40:00 - The CSF paid £2.24

Ripon 20:30:00 - The CSF paid £3.43

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Fontwell 14:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £4.30

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 5 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Fontwell 15:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £3.00

Cartmel 17:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £66.70

Chelmsford (AW) 18:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £92.80

Punchestown 18:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £52.30

Chelmsford (AW) 19:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £21.70

Winners

From the 39 rated races there were 18 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 2 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Fontwell	15:10	Kentford Heiress (2)	9.00	9.00
Cartmel	17:20	Ash Park (6)	7.50	7.85

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Nottingham 14:00 - Reeh - Win Bet - 2nd

2). Fontwell 14:10 - Linguine - Win Bet - 2nd

3). Fontwell 14:40 - Free Of Charge - Win Bet - 3rd

4). Nottingham 15:00 - Little Kipling - Place Bet - Unplaced

Place Betting Strategy

Nottingham 14:00:00 - Madame Bounty - 3rd - Betfair paid 4.97 for the place.
Fontwell 14:10:00 - Butney Island - 3rd - Betfair paid 1.36 for the place.
Cartmel 15:50:00 - Grover Silver - Unplaced
Chelmsford 18:10:00 - Gerard's Fur Coat - 2nd - Betfair paid 7.56 for the place.
Ripon 18:30:00 - Kahrab - Unplaced
Punchestown 19:20:00 - Ekbaal - Unplaced
Punchestown 19:50:00 - Glen's Dd - Unplaced
Ripon 20:30:00 - Lozah - N/R
Punchestown 20:50:00 - Allez Kal - Unplaced

We made a profit of 5.3455 points on the day and have made a profit of 5.3455 points for June.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 10.718841 points on the day and have made a profit of 10.718841 points for June.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 10.486965 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 10.486965 points for June.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJune.xls

Something to make you laugh

Murphy's Technology Laws

You can never tell which way the train went by looking at the track.

Logic is a systematic method of coming to the wrong conclusion with confidence.

Whenever a system becomes completely defined, some damn fool discovers something which either abolishes the system or expands it beyond recognition.

Technology is dominated by those who manage what they do not understand.

If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker that came along would destroy civilization.

The opulence of the front office decor varies inversely with the fundamental solvency of the firm.

The attention span of a computer is only as long as it electrical cord.

An expert is one who knows more and more about less and less until he knows absolutely everything about nothing.

Tell a man there are 300 billion stars in the universe and he'll believe you. Tell him a bench has wet paint on it and he'll have to touch to be sure.

All great discoveries are made by mistake.

Always draw your curves, then plot your reading.

Nothing ever gets built on schedule or within budget.

All's well that ends.

A meeting is an event at which the minutes are kept and the hours are lost.

The first myth of management is that it exists.

A failure will not appear till a unit has passed final inspection.

New systems generate new problems.

To err is human, but to really foul things up requires a computer.

We don't know one millionth of one percent about anything.

Any given program, when running, is obsolete.

Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.

A computer makes as many mistakes in two seconds as 20 men working 20 years make.

The faster a computer is, the faster it will reach a crashed state.

Nothing motivates a man more than to see his boss putting in an honest day's work.

Some people manage by the book, even though they don't know who wrote the book or even what book.

The primary function of the design engineer is to make things difficult for the fabricator and impossible for the serviceman.

To spot the expert, pick the one who predicts the job will take the longest and cost the most.

After all is said and done, a hell of a lot more is said than done.

Any circuit design must contain at least one part which is obsolete, two parts which are unobtainable and three parts which are still under development.

A complex system that works is invariably found to have evolved from a simple system that works.

If mathematically you end up with the incorrect answer, try multiplying by the page number.

Computers are unreliable, but humans are even more unreliable. Any system which depends on human reliability is unreliable.

Give all orders verbally. Never write anything down that might go into a "Pearl Harbor File."

Under the most rigorously controlled conditions of pressure, temperature, volume, humidity, and other variables the organism will do as it damn well pleases.

If you can't understand it, it is intuitively obvious.

The more cordial the buyer's secretary, the greater the odds that the competition already has the order.

In designing any type of construction, no overall dimension can be totaled correctly after 4:30 p.m. on Friday. The correct total will become self-evident at 8:15 a.m. on Monday.

Fill what's empty. Empty what's full. And scratch where it itches.

All things are possible except skiing through a revolving door.

The only perfect science is hind-sight.

Work smarder and not harder and be careful of yor speling.

If it's not in the computer, it doesn't exist.

If an experiment works, something has gone wrong.

When all else fails, read the instructions.

If there is a possibility of several things going wrong the one that will cause the most damage will be the one to go wrong.

Everything that goes up must come down.

Any instrument when dropped will roll into the least accessible corner.

Any simple theory will be worded in the most complicated way.

Build a system that even a fool can use and only a fool will want to use it.

The degree of technical competence is inversely proportional to the level of management.

Any attempt to print Murphy's laws will jam the printer.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 43 rated races from six meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards