Morning News

Good morning...

Strangely enough...

Even though the strike rate for the top rated horse wasn't too impressive yesterday,

Had you blindly backed every top three rated horse in every rated race you would have made a 26.48% profit on your stakes.

I know that I've harped on about this before (about this time of the year for the last 3 years) but the amount of non runners really does change the profile of the races.

One race that stood out yesterday was the 20:35 at Chepstow where 7 of the 17 runners didn't run.

Anyway, it's the weekend so let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 14.29%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 16.28%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 13.04% from all 46 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 158.1 units returned to 125 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 26.48%

Top Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the top rated horses from 42 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 25.42 units returned to 42 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -39.48%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 12 winners from the second rated horses from 41 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 73.43 units returned to 41 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 79.1%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the third rated horses from 42 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 59.25 units returned to 42 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 41.07%

Forecasts

There was 1 forecast yesterday.

Chepstow 20:35:00 - The CSF paid £23.44

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Sandown 16:05:00 - The CSF paid £5.04

Chepstow 17:50:00 - The CSF paid £14.55

Chepstow 18:55:00 - The CSF paid £1.93

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Newton Abbot 14:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £66.90

Sandown 16:05:00 - The Trifecta paid £23.20

Chepstow 18:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £2.20

Winners

From the 43 rated races there were 26 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 14 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Newton Abbot	14:10	Dun Bay Creek (2)	9.00	23.16
York	14:35	Pandora (1)	9.00	13.50
Sandown	15:30	Bermondsey (9)	6.50	7.86
York	15:45	Classic Seniority (20)	17.00	19.15
York	16:20	Mayfair Lady (3)	6.00	6.80
Sandown	16:40	Another Boy (5)	12.00	13.97
Newton Abbot	17:00	Maizy Missile (10)	10.00	13.00
Newton Abbot	17:30	Bumble Bay (1)	5.50	6.20
Clonmel	18:35	You Cant Catch Me (6)	7.00	8.25
Goodwood	18:45	Pastoral Player (1)	7.50	8.54
Chepstow	19:30	Lady Bayside (3)	6.00	6.80
Aintree	19:40	Cornborough (4)	6.50	6.76
Clonmel	20:50	Khalessi (6)	9.00	10.00
Chepstow	21:10	Urban Space (9)	7.00	7.20

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Newton Abbot 14:10 - Policy Breach - Win Bet - 2nd.

2). Sandown 14:20 - Wholesome - Win Bet - Unplaced.

3). Newton Abbot 14:45 - Gambol - Win Bet - 3rd.

Place Betting Strategy

Newton Abbot 14:10:00 - Dun Bay Creek - 1st - Betfair paid 2.08 for the place.
Newton Abbot 15:20:00 - Violet's Girl - Unplaced
Newton Abbot 15:55:00 - War Singer - Unplaced
Clonmel 17:35:00 - Soft Seventeen - Unplaced
Chepstow 17:50:00 - Gerrards Return - Unplaced

We made a loss of 2.974 points on the day and have made a profit of 16.707 points for June.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 2.694372 points on the day and have made a profit of 22.634013 points for June.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 2.694372 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 20.62476 points for June.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJune.xls

Something to make you laugh

One from Lee...

Bring back the 50's!

Pasta had not been invented. It was macaroni or spaghetti.

Curry was a surname.

A take-away was a mathematical problem.

Pizza? Sounds like a leaning tower somewhere.

Bananas and oranges only appeared at Christmas time.

All chips were plain.

Rice was a milk pudding, and never, ever part of our dinner.

A Big Mac was what we wore when it was raining.

Brown bread was something only poor people ate

Oil was for lubricating, fat was for cooking.

Tea was made in a teapot using tea leaves and never green.

Cubed sugar was regarded as posh.

Chickens didn’t have fingers in those days.

None of us had ever heard of yogurt.

Healthy food consisted of anything edible.

Cooking outside was called camping.

Seaweed was not a recognised food.

‘Kebab' was not even a word, never mind a food.

Sugar enjoyed a good press in those days, and was regarded as being white gold.

Prunes were medicinal.

Surprisingly muesli was readily available. It was called cattle feed.

Pineapples came in chunks in a tin; we had only ever seen a picture of a real one.

Water came out of the tap. If someone had suggested bottling it and charging more than petrol for it they would have become a laughing stock.

The one thing that we never ever had on/at our table in the fifties...was elbows, hats and cell phones!

And a couple from me...

Today

Today's early test ratings show 67 rated races from 10 meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards