Morning News

Good morning...

A massive day of racing, yesterday, with 10 meetings.

The results weren't wonderful but today looks far easier with only four meetings to concentrate on.

With Royal Ascot starting next Tuesday I am working today and will be taking Monday off instead.

I'm going to be doing some analysis on the Speed Ratings during Ascot as I have a sneaking suspicion that they work better for the "Festival" races.

Time will tell.

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.19%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 16.42%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.14% from all 70 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 132.87 units returned to 177 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -24.93%

Top Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the top rated horses from 64 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 32.62 units returned to 64 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -49.03%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 12 winners from the second rated horses from 58 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 46 units returned to 58 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -20.69%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the third rated horses from 55 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 54.25 units returned to 55 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -1.36%

Forecasts

There were 5 forecasts yesterday.

Bath 13:45:00 - The CSF paid £3.97

Navan 13:55:00 - The CSF paid £1.88

Lingfield 19:20:00 - The CSF paid £6.36

Leicester 20:40:00 - The CSF paid £2.90

Lingfield 20:50:00 - The CSF paid £1.93

Reverse Forecasts

There were 6 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Bath 14:20:00 - The CSF paid £14.20

Chester 16:00:00 - The CSF paid £6.68

Sandown 17:05:00 - The CSF paid £4.63

Bath 17:15:00 - The CSF paid £6.98

Leicester 18:10:00 - The CSF paid £9.05

Limerick 20:00:00 - The CSF paid £11.15

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Navan 13:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £17.60

Lingfield 19:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £12.90

Leicester 20:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £6.90

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 4 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Navan 15:05:00 - The Trifecta paid £82.30

Navan 15:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £34.30

Sandown 16:30:00 - The Trifecta paid £30.30

Bath 17:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £11.60

Winners

From the 68 rated races there were 32 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 7 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Musselburgh	14:00	Ventura Secret (4)	6.50	8.00
York	14:25	Felix Leiter (8)	6.50	7.84
Navan	15:05	Shanghai Beauty (2)	8.00	8.80
Hexham	15:50	Lord Wishes (2)	7.00	8.70
Hexham	16:25	Buckskin Boulta (4)	9.00	10.00
Navan	16:50	Zebgrey (13)	7.00	9.00
Limerick	19:00	Fleurys Fort (1)	7.00	7.64

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Navan 13:55 - Lyin Eyes - Win Bet - 2nd.

2). Musselburgh 14:00 - Ortano - Place Bet - NR

3). Hexham 14:05 - Tickenwolf - Win Bet - 2nd.

Place Betting Strategy

Musselburgh 14:00:00 - Ventura Secret - 1st - Betfair paid 1.99 for the place.
Bath 14:20:00 - Gienna - Unplaced
Hexham 14:40:00 - Desert Island Dusk - 1st - Betfair paid 1.40 for the place.
Hexham 16:25:00 - Stay in my Heart - Unplaced
Limerick 18:00:00 - Fugitive Motel - Unplaced
Lingfield 19:50:00 - Hilltop Ranger - 3rd - Betfair paid 1.92 for the place.

We made a profit of 1.375 points on the day and have made a profit of 10.293 points for June.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 1.64076 points on the day and have made a profit of 19.390122 points for June.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 2.31876 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 18.340578 points for June.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJune.xls

Something to make you laugh

Catholic Priest

My mother wanted me to be a Catholic priest.

Can you imagine giving up your sex life and then, once a week people come in to Confession to tell you the details and highlights of theirs?

Today

Today's early test ratings show 28 rated races from four meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards