Morning News

Good morning...

A difficult day at Ascot yesterday but our second rated horse did win the Royal Hunt Cup @10/1 ISP.

And our 2nd rated horse won the Duke of Cambridge Stakes @ 9/4 ISP.

Our 3rd rated horse won the Sandringham Handicap @ 11/4 which means that six of the races were won by a Focus Ratings top three rated horse.

So, had you backed every top three rated horse in all six races at Ascot you would have had 22.496 points returned (after commission) to 18 points staked.

Which isn't much but...

A profit is a profit.

Apart from that, there's not much to report.

It was a funny day when nothing really stands out but...

Had you blindly backed the top rated horse in every race, you would have made a profit.

In fact, had you blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in every race you would also have made a profit.

Come to think of it, you could have backed every top three rated horse in every race and still ended up in profit.

Anyway, enough of that, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.08%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.08%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25% from all 40 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 120.34 units returned to 114 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 5.56%

Top Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the top rated horses from 39 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 43.46 units returned to 39 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 11.44%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the second rated horses from 37 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 55.63 units returned to 37 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 50.35%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 38 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 21.25 units returned to 38 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -44.08%

Forecasts

There was 1 forecast yesterday.

Wexford 17:50:00 - The CSF paid £3.27

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Chelmsford (AW) 21:10:00 - The CSF paid £3.91

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Uttoxeter 14:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £13.00

Chelmsford (AW) 18:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £17.80

Winners

From the 39 rated races there were 24 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 9 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Uttoxeter	16:05	Exemplary (9)	10.00	11.00
Hamilton	16:35	Dubai Dynamo (1)	9.00	10.26
Ascot	17:00	Portage (11)	11.00	15.00
Hamilton	17:45	Chauvelin (8)	8.00	10.00
Chelmsford (AW)	18:10	Island Vision (4)	6.00	7.69
Chelmsford (AW)	18:40	Van Huysen (4)	5.50	5.76
Wexford	19:20	Star Of Angels (13)	9.00	9.20
Chelmsford (AW)	20:10	Gentlemen (4)	5.50	5.54
Chelmsford (AW)	20:40	Desert River (6)	6.00	6.97

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = High priced Beaten Favs on the Flat - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse was a Beaten Favourite and the Forecast Starting Price was more than 7.5

Selection = Back to ISP - Ascot - 14:30:00 - Gifted Master (3)

Races (over last year): 12 Wins: 3 Strike Rate: 25.00% ROI: 283.25% AV SP: 11.33

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £219.90

Gifted Master was unplaced.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Uttoxeter 14:20 - Le Capricieux - Win Bet - 3rd.

2). Hamilton 14:45 - Tagur - Place Bet - Unplaced.

3). Uttoxeter 14:55 - Fountains Blossom - Win Bet - 2nd.

Place Betting Strategy

Hamilton 14:45:00 - Tagur - Unplaced
Chelmsford 18:10:00 - Island Vision - 1st - Betfair paid 2.54 for the place.
Ripon 20:30:00 - Ryedale Rio - Unplaced
Wexford 20:50:00 - Berry - Unplaced

We made a loss of 1.537 points on the day and have made a profit of 8.25 points for June.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 2.398086 points on the day and have made a profit of 11.382603 points for June.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 2.398086 points yesterday and we have made a profit of 8.302788 points for June.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJune.xls

Something to make you laugh

Who's in Charge?

All of the organs are deciding who should be in charge:

"I should be in charge," said the brain, "I run all the body's systems, without me nothing would happen."

"I should be in charge," said the heart, "I circulate oxygen and nutrients all over."

"No! I should be in charge," said the stomach, "I process the food that gives us energy."

"I should be in charge," said the legs, "without me the body couldn't go anywhere."

"I should be in charge," said the eyes, "I allow the body to see where it goes."

"I should be in charge," said the anus, "I am responsible for waste removal."

All of the other body parts laughed at the anus and insulted him.

So he shut down. Within a few days, the brain had a terrible headache, the stomach was bloated, the legs got wobbly, the eyes got watery, and the heart pumped toxic blood.

They all decided that the anus should be the boss.

What is the moral of the story?

Even though everybody else does all of the work the ass hole is usually in charge.

Sex Education

My teenage daughter came home in a rage.

"I’ve just done sex education in school today, Dad! You lied to me! You told me if I have sex before my sixteenth birthday, my boyfriend will die!"

I put down my paper: "Oh, he will, sweetheart, he will.”

Today

Today's early test ratings show 39 rated races from six meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards