Morning News

Good morning...

A pretty decent day, yesterday.

Our First Page Strategy returned 12.825 (after commission) points to 5 points staked.

Our Place Betting Strategy made a profit of 9.5495 (to level stakes.)

The overall strike rate (for the top rated horse) was reasonable and...

If you'd only concentrated on the non-handicap races (easier to rate) the strike rate (for the top rated horse) would have been 54.55% and you would have made a profit of 23% on your stakes (to ISP.)

Not much more I can add so, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.67%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.67%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.67% from all 30 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 61.41 units returned to 88 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -30.22%

Top Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the top rated horses from 30 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 30.53 units returned to 30 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 1.77%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the second rated horses from 29 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17.25 units returned to 29 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -40.52%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 29 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 13.63 units returned to 29 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -53%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 11 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 6 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 54.55%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 13.53 units returned to 11 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 23%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 11 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 8 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 72.73%

Forecasts

There was 1 forecast yesterday.

Windsor 15:10:00 - The CSF paid £3.41

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Cartmel 14:20:00 - The CSF paid £10.92

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Windsor 15:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £7.70

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Uttoxeter 14:30:00 - The Trifecta paid £43.70

Cartmel 14:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £31.20

Windsor 15:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £13.60

Winners

From the 30 rated races there were 15 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 3 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Cartmel	14:20	Raid Stane (2)	5.50	6.00
Cartmel	14:50	Martila (7)	7.00	9.20
Curragh	17:55	Ringside Humour (8)	12.00	13.66

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Uttoxeter 14:00 - Beneficial Joe - Place Bet - Unplaced.

2). Windsor 14:10 - Helfire - Place Bet - Unplaced.

3). Curragh 14:15 - Sebastian Bach - Place Bet - 3rd - Betfair paid 8.0 for the place.

4). Uttoxeter 14:30 - Barman - Win Bet - 1st @ 5.5 BSP.

5). Curragh 14:45 - Sanus Per Aquam - Place Bet - Unplaced.

Place Betting Strategy

Uttoxeter 14:00:00 - Sensible Simpson - 2nd - Betfair paid 14.21 for the place.
Windsor 14:10:00 - Helfire - Unplaced
Windsor 15:10:00 - Miss Rosina - Unplaced
Uttoxeter 17:40:00 - Booted Eagle - Unplaced

We made a profit of 9.5495 points on the day and have made a profit of 5.128 points for June.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 5.796561 points on the day and have made a profit of 5.435526 points for June.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 5.796561 points and we have made a profit of 1.04073 points for June.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJune.xls

Something to make you laugh

Former Lover

Over drinks one afternoon a buddy of mine and I were discussing former "loves".

I told him that I once broke-up with a girl long ago because she had a seemingly incurable speech impediment.

George said, "Jimmy, I'm shocked. I never know you to be one to be prejudiced against handicaps. What was the girl's problem?"

Taking a sip, I paused and reflected. "She couldn't say 'yes'."

Today

Today's early test ratings show 29 rated races from four meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards