Morning News

Good morning...

Yesterday's results were average.

Nothing stood out for me before, during or after the racing.

It looks like we'll end the month in profit for our Place Betting Strategy and...

I need to do a round up for our recent First Page Strategy results.

I hope that that will happen today but I'm still tied up on testing the last three years results to see if there is a Dutching angle for the non-handicap races.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 24.39%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.73% from all 44 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 79.87 units returned to 122 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -34.53%

Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 41 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 35.96 units returned to 41 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -12.29%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the second rated horses from 42 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 11 units returned to 42 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -73.81%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the third rated horses from 39 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 32.91 units returned to 39 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -15.62%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 10 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 3 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 30%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 6.08 units returned to 10 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -39.2%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 10 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 6 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 60%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Perth 14:10:00 - The CSF paid £2.31

Bath 18:00:00 - The CSF paid £5.54

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Fairyhouse 17:50:00 - The CSF paid £6.90

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Perth 14:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £8.50

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Fairyhouse 17:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £19.00

Winners

From the 43 rated races there were 19 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 6 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Worcester	14:20	Kinari (16)	7.00	8.20
Catterick	14:30	Rio Deva (3)	6.50	6.40
Perth	14:40	Amilliontimes (2)	6.50	7.00
Perth	15:10	Gold Chain (2)	10.00	12.50
Catterick	17:00	Purple Magic (1)	6.50	7.00
Bath	18:30	Icebuster (2)	7.00	8.21

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Perth 14:10 - John Monash - Win Bet - 2nd

2). Perth 14:40 - Seventeen Black - Place Bet - Unplaced.

Place Betting Strategy

Perth 14:10:00 - Raleagh Mountain - 3rd - Betfair paid 3.0 for the place.
Worcester 16:20:00 - River of Intrigue - NR
Fairyhouse 18:20:00 - Mission Authorised - Unplaced
Kempton 19:10:00 - Pacofilha - Unplaced
Bath 20:00:00 - Dream Free - Unplaced

We made a loss of 1.1 points on the day and have made a profit of 5.03 points for June.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 2.7798 points on the day and have made a profit of 4.661928 points for June.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 2.7798 points and we have made a profit of 0.267132 points for June.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJune.xls

Something to make you laugh

The Bet

An elderly woman walked into the Royal Bank of Ireland one morning with a purse full of money.

She wanted to open a savings account and insisted on talking to the president of the Bank because, she said, she had a lot of money.

After many lengthy discussions (after all, the client is always right) an employee took the elderly woman to the president's office.

The president of the Bank asked her how much she wanted to deposit.

She placed her purse on his desk and replied, '$165,000'.

The president was curious and asked her how she had been able to save so much money . The elderly woman replied that she made bets.

The president was surprised and asked, 'What kind of bets?'

The elderly woman replied, 'Well, I bet you $25,000 that your testicles are square.'

The president started to laugh and told the woman that it was impossible to win a bet like that. ;

The woman never batted an eye. She just looked at the president and said, 'Would you like to take my bet?'

'Certainly', replied the president. 'I bet you $25,000 that my testicles are not square.'

'Done', the elderly woman answered. 'But given the amount of money involved, if you don't mind I would like to come back at 10 ' clock tomorrow morning with my lawyer as a witness.'

'No problem', said the president of the Bank confidently.

That night, the president became very nervous about the bet and spent a long time in front of the mirror examining his testicles, turning them this way and that, checking them over again and again until he was positive that no one could consider his testicles as square and reassuring himself that there was no way he could lose the bet.

The next morning at exactly 10 o'clock the elderly woman arrived at the president's office with her lawyer and acknowledged the $25,000 bet made the day before that the president's testicles were square.

The president confirmed that the bet was the same as the one made the day before. Then the elderly woman asked him to drop his pants etc. so that she and her lawyer could see clearly.

The president was happy to oblige.

The elderly woman came closer so she could see better and asked the president if she could touch them. 'Of course', said the president. 'Given the amount of money involved, you should be 100% sure.'

The elderly woman did so with a little smile.

Suddenly the president noticed that the lawyer was banging his head against the wall.

He asked the elderly woman why he was doing that and she replied, 'Oh, it's probably because I bet him $100,000 that around 10 o'clock in the morning I would be holding the balls of the President of the Royal Bank of Ireland.'

Today

Today's early test ratings show 47 rated races from second meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards