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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

Yesterday was reasonably decent for us.

Once again, looking at the non-handicap races, we got a 46.67% strike rate for our top rated horse and 86.67% of those races were won by a top three rated horse.

For our First Page Strategy, so far this month we have had 10.64 points (after Betfair commission) returned to 7 points staked.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25.58%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.57% from all 51 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 99.49 units returned to 134 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -25.75%

Top Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the top rated horses from 43 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 27.59 units returned to 43 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -35.84%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the second rated horses from 45 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 37.15 units returned to 45 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -17.44%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the third rated horses from 46 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 34.75 units returned to 46 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -24.46%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 15 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 7 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 46.67%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 15.84 units returned to 15 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 5.6%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 15 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 13 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 86.67%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Haydock 16:00:00 - The CSF paid £3.90

Beverley 16:10:00 - The CSF paid £8.72

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Leicester 14:05:00 - The CSF paid £7.53

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Beverley 16:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £18.10

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Beverley 13:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £43.80

Leicester 17:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £14.50

Nottingham 19:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £18.20

Winners

From the 50 rated races there were 27 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Beverley 13:50 Muirsheen Durkin (6) 6.00 8.00
Leicester 15:15 Imperial Link (6) 6.00 7.82
Leicester 15:50 Luduamf (4) 6.00 7.40
Bellewstown 18:55 Sir Jack Yeats (19) 11.00 14.08
Bellewstown 19:55 Manuka (9) 7.00 7.40

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Beverley 13:50 - Major Cornwallis - Win Bet - 2nd

2). Leicester 14:05 - Motdaw - Win Bet - 1st @ 3.85 BSP.

3). Beverley 14:25 - Climax - Win Bet - 3rd

A total of 3.6575 points (after commission) returned to 3 points staked.

So far this month we have had 10.64 points (after commission) returned to 7 points staked.

Place Betting Strategy

Beverley 14:25:00 - Breaking Free - Unplaced
Beverley 15:00:00 - African Grey - Unplaced
Haydock 16:00:00 - Clear Spring - NR
Bellestown 17:25:00 - Rathmuck Native - NR
Bellestown 20:25:00 - Frazel Express - NR

We made a loss of 2 points on the day and have made a loss of 5.625 points for July.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 1.356 points on the day and have made a loss of 4.9155 points for July.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 0.678 points and we have made a loss of 3.989352 points for July.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJuly16.xls

Something to make you laugh

The Parrot

During a lull between the speeches at the recent White House Correspondents' dinner, Michelle Obama leans over to chat with Joe Biden.

"Ya know, I bought Barack a parrot for his birthday. The bird is so smart, Barack has already taught him to pronounce over two hundred words!"

"Wow, that's pretty impressive," says Joe, "but, you do realize that he just speaks the words -- he doesn't really understand what they mean."

"Oh, I know," Michelle replies, "Neither does the parrot."

Today

Today's early test ratings show 29 rated races from four meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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