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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

Another very strong day for us yesterday,

Which leaves us running with a strike rate (for the top rated horse) of 27.27% for the month so far.

We're still in profit for our First Page Strategy and I am now keeping a monthly running tally of profits for this.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 38.24%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 37.14%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 38.89% from all 36 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 60.19 units returned to 99 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -39.2%

Top Rated Horse - There were 13 winners from the top rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 34.6 units returned to 34 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 1.76%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the second rated horses from 30 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 13.59 units returned to 30 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -54.7%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the third rated horses from 35 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 12 units returned to 35 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -65.71%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 14 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 5 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 35.71%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 10.27 units returned to 14 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -26.64%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 14 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 7 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 50%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Ayr 14:45:00 - The CSF paid £18.79

Windsor 19:05:00 - The CSF paid £7.63

Reverse Forecasts

There were 0 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Winners

From the 35 rated races there were 20 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 1 of those was at a nice price.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Windsor 18:05 Etienne Gerard (6) 8.00 9.13

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Flat Apprentice - not April - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is an Apprentice Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and where Country = UK and the Month is May or the Month is June or the Month is July or the Month is August or the Month is September or the Month is October and the Horse\'s R4 is greater than 3.5

Selection = Back to ISP - Windsor - 18:05:00 - Potternello (5)

Races (over last year): 71 Wins: 17 Strike Rate: 23.94% ROI: 117.78% AV SP: 4.92

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £126.40

Potternello was unplaced.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Ayr 13:45 - Town Charter - Win Bet - 1st @ 2.11 BSP

A total of 1.8145 points (after commission) returned to 1 point staked.

So far this month we have had 13.459 points (after commission) returned to 12 points staked.

Place Betting Strategy

Ayr 13:45:00 - Bear Essentials - 3rd - Betfair paid 1.15 for the place
Worcester 15:00:00 - Glanvilles Guest - Unplaced
Worcester 16:40:00 - Tingo in the Tale - Unplaced
Worcester 17:10:00 - Presenting Streak - 3rd - Betfair paid 2.08 for the place
Roscommon 17:55:00 - Les Arceaux - Unplaced
Windsor 20:35:00 - Heart of Oak - Unplaced
Roscommon 20:55:00 - Dalmatia - 2nd - Betfair paid 1.79 for the place

We made a loss of 2.081 points on the day and have made a loss of 7.699 points for July.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 2.07129 points on the day and have made a loss of 6.304044 points for July.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 2.676744 points and we have made a loss of 5.98335 points for July.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJuly16.xls

Something to make you laugh

US Travel Agent

Here are some observations about the politicians who run our country. They are from a Washington, D.C.travel agent with 30 years experience. Should we be worried about some of the people running our country?

I had a New Hampshire Congresswoman ask for an aisle seat so that her hair wouldn't get messed up by being near the window.

I got a call from a Candidate's Staffer, who wanted to go to Capetown. I started to explain the length of the flight and the passport information then she interrupted me with, "I'm not trying to make you look stupid, but Capetown is in Massachusetts." Without trying to make her look like the stupid one, I calmly explained, "Cape Cod is in Massachusetts, Capetown is in Africa." Her response ... (click).

A Vermont Congressman called, furious about a Florida package we did. I asked what was wrong with the vacation in Orlando. He said he was expecting an ocean-view room. I tried to explain that is not possible, since Orlando is in the middle of the state. He replied, "Don't lie to me. I looked on the map, and Florida is a very thin state!!!"

I got a call from a Lawmakers Wife who asked, "Is it possible to see England from Canada?" I said, "No." She said, "But they look so close on the map."

An Illinois Congresswoman called last week. She needed to know how it was possible that her flight from Detroit left at 8:20am and got into Chicago at 8:33am. I tried to explain that Michigan was an hour ahead of Illinois, but she could not understand the concept of time zones. Finally, I told her the plane went very fast, and she bought that!

A New York lawmaker called and asked, "Do airlines put your physical description on your bag so they know whose luggage belongs to who?" I said, "No, why do you ask?" She replied, "Well, when I checked in, they put a tag on my luggage that said (FAT), and I'm overweight. I think that is very rude." After putting her on hold for a minute while I "looked into it" (I actually was laughing). I came back and explained the city code for Fresno, CA is (FAT), and that the airline was just putting a destination tag on her luggage.

A Senator's Aide called in inquiring about a trip package to Hawaii. After going over all the cost info, she asked, "Would it be cheaper to fly to California and then take the train to Hawaii?"

I just got off the phone with a freshman Congressman who asked, "How do I know which plane to get on?" I asked him what exactly he meant, to which he replied, "I was told my flight number is 823, but none of these darn planes have numbers on them

A Senator called and said, "I need to fly to Pepsi-Cola, FL. Do I have to get on one of those little computer planes?" I asked if she meant fly to Pensacola, FL on a commuter plane. She said, "Yeah, whatever!!"

A Senior Senator called and had a question about the documents he needed in order to fly to China. After a lengthy discussion about passports, I reminded him he needed a visa. "Oh no I don't, I've been to China times and never had to have one of those." I double checked and sure enough, his stay required a visa. When I told him this he said, "Look, I've been to China four times and every time they have accepted my American Express!"

A New Mexico Congresswoman called to make reservations, "I want to go from Chicago to Rhino, New York" The agent was at a loss for words. Finally, the
agent: "Are you sure that's the name of the town?" "Yes, what flights do you have?" replied the lady.
After some searching, the agent came back with, "I'm sorry, ma'am, I've looked up every airport code in the country and can't find a Rhino anywhere."
The lady retorted, "Oh don't be silly! Everyone knows where it is. Check your map!" The agent scoured a map of the state of New York and finally offered, "You don't mean Buffalo, do you?" "That's it! I knew it was a big animal", she admitted

Today

Today's early test ratings show 36 rated races from five meetings.

All races are rated.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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