Morning News

Good morning...

A decent day overall but...

Where we really shone was in the non-handicap races.

Our top rated horse inthe non-handicap races achieved a 50% strike rate and, had you blindly backed those horses you would have made a 24.4% profit on your stakes (to ISP.)

80% of all non-handicap races were won by a top three rated horse.

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.47% from all 34 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 91.68 units returned to 99 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -7.39%

Top Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the top rated horses from 30 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 21.6 units returned to 30 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -28%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 37 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 41.33 units returned to 37 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 11.7%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 28.75 units returned to 32 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -10.16%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 10 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 5 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 50%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 12.44 units returned to 10 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 24.4%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 10 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 8 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 80%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Pontefract 14:10:00 - The CSF paid £3.16

Pontefract 16:10:00 - The CSF paid £4.38

Uttoxeter 17:50:00 - The CSF paid £5.81

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Brighton 19:40:00 - The CSF paid £12.19

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Winners

From the 34 rated races there were 21 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 6 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Pontefract	14:40	Wilde Extravagance (10)	10.00	12.50
Wolverhampton (AW)	16:25	Gulland Rock (4)	7.00	7.47
Pontefract	16:40	Theos Lolly (2)	7.00	7.20
Brighton	17:40	Indus Valley (5)	10.00	11.50
Wolverhampton (AW)	17:55	Mayasa (5)	8.50	11.00
Roscommon	21:00	Pursecco (7)	6.00	7.40

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Pontefract 14:10 - Prerogative - Win Bet - 2nd

A total of 0 points returned to 1 point staked.

So far this month we have had 13.459 points (after commission) returned to 13 points staked.

Place Betting Strategy

Pontefract 16:10:00 - Sautter - Unplaced
Roscommon 18:00:00 - Siberian Vixen - Unplaced
Brighton 18:10:00 - Eolian - Unplaced
Roscommon 19:00:00 - Ben Button - NR
Roscommon 20:30:00 - Laogg Beag - Unplaced

We made a loss of 4 points on the day and have made a loss of 11.699 points for July.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 3.39 points on the day and have made a loss of 9.694044 points for July.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 2.712 points and we have made a loss of 8.69535 points for July.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJuly16.xls

Something to make you laugh

Taxi Driver

A minister dies and is waiting in line at the Pearly Gates. Ahead of him is a guy who's dressed in sunglasses, a loud shirt, leather jacket, and jeans.

Saint Peter addresses this guy, "Who are you, so that I may know whether or not to admit you to the Kingdom of Heaven?"

The guy replies, "I'm Joe Cohen, taxi-driver, of Noo Yawk City."

Saint Peter consults his list. He smiles and says to the taxi-driver, "Take this silken robe and golden staff and enter the Kingdom of Heaven."

The taxi-driver goes into Heaven with his robe and staff, and it's the minister's turn. He stands erect and booms out, "I am Joseph Snow, pastor of Saint Mary's for the last forty-three years."

Saint Peter consults his list. He says to the minister, "Take this cotton robe and wooden staff and enter the Kingdom of Heaven."

"Just a minute," says the minister. "That man was a taxi-driver and he gets a silken robe and golden staff. How can this be?"

"Up here, we work by results," says Saint Peter. "While you preached, people slept; while he drove, people prayed."

Today

Today's early test ratings show 36 rated races from five meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards