Morning News

Good morning...

On the face of it...

Not a wonderful day for the ratings but, if you delve a little bit deeper, there is good news to be found.

Our First Page Strategy made a profit, albeit a small one, and a total of 5.6715 points (after commission) were returned to 4 points staked.

This means for this strategy for this month so far we have had 29.951 points (after commission) returned to 26 points staked.

For the second day in a row our Place Betting Strategy made a profit and we are slowly but surely clawing our way back towards being in profit for the month.

And just look at the strike rate for the top three rated horses in the non-handicap races - from these races 81.25% were won by a top three rated horse.

Now I have to admit that I'm struggling a bit to some up with a strategy for profiting from these sorts of numbers but I realised yesterday that I was looking for a One Size Fits All strategy whereas it's probably better to come up with two or three separate strategies to give us the results we're looking for.

Today is a day off for me and I'm planning to go to a lake about 8 miles from me for a little paddle.

Anyway, that's for later, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.78%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 16.33%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 15.69% from all 51 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 110.38 units returned to 131 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -15.74%

Top Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the top rated horses from 45 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 22.75 units returned to 45 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -49.44%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 41 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 31 units returned to 41 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -24.39%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the third rated horses from 45 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 56.63 units returned to 45 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 25.84%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 16 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 4 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 25%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 7 units returned to 16 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -56.25%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 16 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 13 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 81.25%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Tipperary 16:55:00 - The CSF paid £3.70

Salisbury 18:30:00 - The CSF paid £21.98

Hamilton 20:15:00 - The CSF paid £14.53

Reverse Forecasts

There were 1 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Chester 14:00:00 - The CSF paid £7.93

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Chester 14:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £29.90

Ascot 17:35:00 - The Trifecta paid £87.00

Winners

From the 49 rated races there were 25 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Chester	15:05	Birchwood (9)	8.00	11.00
Chester	16:45	Eurystheus (3)	8.00	8.80
Newmarket - July	17:10	Golden Steps (15)	8.00	11.00
Chester	17:15	Sunnua (6)	13.00	18.23
Ascot	17:35	Manjaam (4)	7.00	8.25

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Chester 14:00 - Hope Solo - Win Bet - 1st @ 5.97

2). Tipperary 14:05 - Leo Minor - Win Bet - 3rd

3). Ascot 14:10 - Pantera Negra - Win Bet - 3rd

4). Chester 14:30 - Tarboosh - Win Bet - 2nd

A total of 5.6715 points returned to 4 points staked.

So far this month we have had 29.951 points (after commission) returned to 26 points staked.

Place Betting Strategy

Chester 14:00:00 - Nautical Haven - 3rd - Betfair paid 1.57 for the place.
Tipperary 14:05:00 - Pindaric - Unplaced
Ascot 14:10:00 - Geneva Convention - 1st - Betfair paid 1.72 for the place.
Tipperary 16:20:00 - Accalia - 2nd - Betfair paid 2.08 for the place.
Tipperary 17:25:00 - Air Command - 2nd - Betfair paid 1.38 for the place.
Salisbury 18:00:00 - Herm - Unplaced

We made a profit of 0.8975 points on the day and have made a loss of 11.8195 points for July.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 1.046493 points on the day and have made a loss of 6.489477 points for July.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 0.660372 points and we have made a loss of 5.988096 points for July.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJuly16.xls

Something to make you laugh

A Race

"Welcome to the Sunnyvale Horseracing Track, I'm your announcer Richard Small. Before the race begins, lets have a look at the line up...

Lineup:

In lane 1. Passionate Lady
In lane 2. Bare Belly
In lane 3. Silk Panties
In lane 4. Conscience
In lane 5. Jockey Shorts
In lane 6. Clean Sheets
In lane 7. Thighs
In lane 8. Big Dick
In lane 9. Heavy Bosom
In lane 10. Merry Cherry

THEY'RE OFF!!!

Conscience is left behind at the gate.

Jockey Shorts and Silk Panties are off in a hurry.

Heavy Bosom is being pressured.

Passionate Lady is caught between Thighs and Big Dick is in a dangerous spot.

AT THE HALFWAY MARK:

It's Bare Belly on top, Thighs open and Big Dick is pressed in.

Heavy Bosom is being pushed hard against Clean Sheets.

Passionate Lady and Thighs are working hard on Bare Belly.

Bare Belly is under terrific pressure from Big Dick.

AT THE STRETCH:

Merry Cherry cracks under the strain.

Big Dick is making a final drive.

Bare Belly is in and Passionate Lady is coming.

AT THE FINISH:

It's Big Dick giving everything he's got and

Passionate Lady takes everything Big Dick has to offer.

It looks like a dead heat but Big Dick comes through with one final thrust and wins by a head...

Bare Belly shows...

Thighs weakens...

Heavy Bosom pulls up and Clean Sheets never had a chance."

And my personal set of life rules...

Amazingly Simple Home Remedies:

1. Avoid Cutting Yourself When Slicing Vegetables By Getting Someone Else To Hold The Vegetables While You Chop.

2. Avoid Arguments With The Females About Lifting The Toilet Seat By Using The Sink.

3. For High Blood Pressure Sufferers: Simply Cut Yourself And Bleed For A Few Minutes, Thus Reducing The Pressure On Your Veins. Remember To Use A Timer.

4. A Mouse Trap Placed On Top Of Your Alarm Clock Will Prevent You From Rolling Over And Going Back To Sleep After You Hit The Snooze Button.

5. If You Have A Bad Cough, Take A Large Dose Of Laxatives. Then You'll Be Afraid To Cough.

6. You Only Need Two Tools In Life: Wd-40 And Duct Tape. If It Doesn't Move And Should, Use The Wd-40. If It Shouldn't Move And Does, Use The Duct Tape.

7. If You Can't Fix It With A Hammer, You've Got An Electrical Problem.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 35 rated races from five meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards