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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

An average day overall but...

A great day for the non-handicap races.

Our top rated horse won 41.18% of all non-handicap races and made a profit of 41.94% on the stakes.

82.35% of all non-handicap races were won by a top three rated horse.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25.53%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.45% from all 49 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 110.07 units returned to 132 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -16.61%

Top Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the top rated horses from 44 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 34.46 units returned to 44 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -21.68%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the second rated horses from 43 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 14.4 units returned to 43 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -66.51%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the third rated horses from 45 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 61.21 units returned to 45 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 36.02%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 17 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 7 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 41.18%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 24.13 units returned to 17 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 41.94%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 17 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 14 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 82.35%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Hamilton 14:30:00 - The CSF paid £6.42

Leopardstown 19:25:00 - The CSF paid £40.94

Leopardstown 20:00:00 - The CSF paid £4.41

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Leicester 15:55:00 - The CSF paid £3.21

Doncaster 19:05:00 - The CSF paid £2.21

Epsom 19:50:00 - The CSF paid £4.95

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Hamilton 14:30:00 - The Trifecta paid £22.80

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 5 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Leicester 15:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £12.40

Doncaster 18:35:00 - The Trifecta paid £45.70

Doncaster 19:05:00 - The Trifecta paid £10.80

Epsom 19:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £6.80

Epsom 19:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £7.50

Winners

From the 48 rated races there were 26 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 8 of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Leicester 14:20 Boutan (4) 6.00 6.6
Killarney 14:55 Kings Wharf (2) 6.50 6.20
Chepstow 15:15 Carcharias (14) 13.00 16.29
Killarney 16:30 Akito (1) 7.00 8.00
Doncaster 18:35 Clef (6) 6.00 7.00
Leopardstown 19:25 Three Majors (8) 8.00 8.63
Doncaster 20:10 Brazos (5) 9.00 10.50
Epsom 20:50 The Gay Cavalier (5) 7.00 8.58

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

Here are today's selections...

1). Leicester 13:50 - Hedging - Win Bet - 2nd

2). Hamilton 14:00 - Chickenfortea - Place Bet - Unplaced

3). Killarney 14:25 - Bright Tomorrow - Place Bet - Unplaced

A total of 0 points returned to 3 points staked.

So far this month we have had 36.088 points (after commission) returned to 39 points staked.

Place Betting Strategy

Killarney 14:25:00 - Candlestick - Unplaced
Leicester 15:55:00 - Sir Valentine - 3rd @ 2.02 BSP
Leopardstown 18:25:00 - Omaolabhail - Unplaced
Leopardstown 18:55:00 - No Woman No Kry - Unplaced
Doncaster 19:35:00 - Ivor's Magic - Unplaced

We made a loss of 3.031 points on the day and have made a loss of 2.975 points for July.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 2.055018 points on the day and have made a loss of 2.436732 points for July.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 2.055018 points and we have made a loss of 2.502159 points for July.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJuly16.xls

Something to make you laugh

Increases in Size

The 6th grade science teacher, Mrs. Parks, asked her class, "What human body part increases to ten times its size when stimulated?"

No one answered until little Mary stood up and said, "You should not be asking sixth-graders a question like that! I'm going to tell my parents, and they will go and tell the principal, who will then fire you!"

Mrs. Parks ignored her and asked the question again, "Which body part increases to 10 times its size when stimulated?"

Little Mary's mouth fell open. Then she said to those around her, "Boy, is she going to get in big trouble!"

The teacher continued to ignore her and said to the class, "Anybody?"

Finally, Billy stood up, looked around nervously, and said, "The body part that increases 10 times its size when stimulated is the pupil of the eye."

Mrs. Parks said, "Very good, Billy," then turned to Mary and continued. "As for you, young lady, I have three things to say:
One, you have a dirty mind.
Two, you didn't read your homework.
And three, one day you are going to be very, very disappointed."

Today

Today's early test ratings show 47 rated races from seven meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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