Morning News

Good morning...

A pretty good day. yesterday.

Our Banker's Bet won...

As did our only First Page Strategy bet which means that so far this month we have had 68.7015 points (after commission) returned to 58 points staked.

And we made about 5 points profit on our Place Betting Strategy.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.26%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.73%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.22% from all 45 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 66.25 units returned to 126 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -47.42%

Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 43 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 20.64 units returned to 43 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -52%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the second rated horses from 39 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17.11 units returned to 39 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -56.13%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 44 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 28.5 units returned to 44 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -35.23%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 16 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 8 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 50%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 15.26 units returned to 16 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -4.62%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 16 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 12 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 75%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Catterick 14:30:00 - The CSF paid £3.03

Catterick 15:30:00 - The CSF paid £2.08

Bath 15:40:00 - The CSF paid £2.85

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 14:20:00 - The CSF paid £5.75

Bath 14:40:00 - The CSF paid £5.47

Leicester 18:40:00 - The CSF paid £7.09

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Bath 15:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £4.90

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Bath 14:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £58.80

Naas 19:25:00 - The Trifecta paid £33.90

Winners

From the 45 rated races there were 21 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 2 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Sandown	20:40	Secret Asset (3)	9.00	10.71
Leicester	20:50	Brave Archibald (1)	8.50	9.81

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Unique Jockey and Trainer - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and where Position last time out = Unplaced and Horse was NOT a Course Winner and Horse was NOT a Distance Winner and Horse had a Unique Jockey and Horse had a Unique trainer and Horse has NOT changed in Class

Selection = Back to ISP - Leicester - 20:15:00 - Equistar (3)

Races (over last year): 11 Wins: 3 Strike Rate: 27.27% ROI: 145.35% AV SP: 5.33

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £49.90

Equistar won @ 5/2 ISP (3.74 BSP.)

Chancers Bet = High priced Beaten Favs on the Flat - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse was a Beaten Favourite and the Forecast Starting Price was more than 7.5

Selection = Back to ISP - Naas - 19:55:00 - Lightening Stricks (10)

Races (over last year): 12 Wins: 2 Strike Rate: 16.67% ROI: 216.71AV SP: 13.00

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £140.00

Lightening Stricks came 2nd.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Catterick 14:00 - Jacquard - Win Bet - 1st @ 1.49

A total of 1.4155 points returned to 1 point staked.

So far this month we have had 68.7015 points (after commission) returned to 58 points staked.

Place Betting Strategy

Lingfield 15:20:00 - Warleggan - 2nd @ 3.48 BSP.
Naas 18:20:00 - Nuala Tagula - 2nd @ 6.00 BSP.
Sandown 19:05:00 - Aborist - Unplaced
Leicester 20:15:00 - Sunnyside Bob Unplaced

We made a profit of 5.106 points on the day and have made a profit of 4.813 points for July.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 2.783868 points on the day and have made a profit of 2.549958 points for July.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 4.139868 points and we have made a profit of 5.436543 points for July.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJuly16.xls

Something to make you laugh

100 dollars

A little boy wanted 100 dollars very badly and prayed for weeks, but nothing happened

Then he decided to write God a letter requesting the 100 dollars

When The postal authorities received the letter addressed to : God , USA ,
... they decided to send it to the President.

The president was so amused that he instructed his secretary to send the little boy a 5 dollar bill.

The president thought this would appear to be a lot of money to a little boy.

The little boy was delighted with the 5 dollar bill and sat down and wrote a thank-you note to God, which read:

Dear God , Thank you very much for sending the money. However, I noticed that for some reason you sent it through Washington, DC.
Do you know those bureaucrats deducted 95 dollars in taxes!

Today

Today's early test ratings show 44 rated races from seven meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards