Morning News

Good morning...

I'm not too sure why yesterday's results were so disappointing but...

It's not all bad news.

We made a profit for our First Page Strategy and also for our Place Betting Strategy.

A quick look at today's preview ratings makes me think that the results for today will be far better.

Anyway, let's see. Firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 15.15%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 15.15%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 14.71% from all 34 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 56.8 units returned to 96 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -40.83%

Top Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the top rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 12.3 units returned to 33 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -62.73%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the second rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 30.75 units returned to 33 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -6.82%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the third rated horses from 30 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 13.75 units returned to 30 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -54.17%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 9 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 2 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 22.22%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 4.17 units returned to 9 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -53.67%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 9 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 4 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 44.44%

Forecasts

There was 1 forecast yesterday.

Newton Abbot 15:20:00 - The CSF paid £7.82

Reverse Forecasts

There were 4 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Ayr 17:10:00 - The CSF paid £6.99

Galway 18:15:00 - The CSF paid £6.35

Windsor 18:25:00 - The CSF paid £4.86

Galway 19:50:00 - The CSF paid £35.59

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Newton Abbot 15:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £18.70

Ayr 17:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £18.20

Galway 18:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £9.80

Winners

From the 33 rated races there were 15 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 2 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Ayr	14:30	Vallarta (5)	9.50	11.47
Ayr	15:05	Dark Crystal (1)	10.00	10.22

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Ayr 14:00 - Proud Archi - Win Bet - Unplaced.

2). Newton Abbot 14:15 - Beau Phil - Win Bet - Unplaced.

3). Ayr 14:30 - Vallarta - Place Bet - 1 @ 4.57 BSP.

A total of 4.3415 points returned to 3 points staked.

So far this month we have had 84.734 points (after commission) returned to 76 points staked.

Place Betting Strategy

Newton Abbot 14:15:00 - Verygoodverygood 3rd
Galway 17:15:00 St Lawrence Gap - Unplaced
Galway 20:20:00 Angelica Yeats - Unplaced

We made a profit of 0.736 points on the day and have made a profit of 7.1485 points for July.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 0.499008 points on the day and have made a profit of 3.625944 points for July.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 0.499008 points and we have made a profit of 5.733168 points for July.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJuly16.xls

Something to make you laugh

The Frog

An engineer was crossing a road one day when a frog called out to him and said, "If you kiss me, I'll turn into a beautiful princess."

He bent over, picked up the frog and put it in his pocket.

The frog spoke up again and said, "If you kiss me and turn me back into a beautiful princess, I will stay with you for one week."

The engineer took the frog out of his pocket, smiled at it and returned it to the pocket.

The frog then cried out, "If you kiss me and turn me back into a princess, I'll stay with you and do ANYTHING you want."

Again the engineer took the frog out, smiled at it and put it back into his pocket.

Finally, the frog asked, "What is the matter? I've told you I'm a beautiful princess, that I'll stay with you for a week and do anything you want. Why won't you kiss me?"

The engineer said, "Look I'm an engineer.

I don't have time for a girlfriend, but a talking frog, now that's cool."

Today

Today's early test ratings show 42 rated races from six meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards