Morning News

Good morning...

A decent enough day, yesterday.

And especially good for the non-handicap races.

With a strike rate of 38.46% for the top rated horse in non-handicap races, you would have made 77.31% profit on stakes had you blindly backed every top rated horse in every non-handicap race.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.19%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 24.44% from all 45 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 95.36 units returned to 121 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -21.19%

Top Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the top rated horses from 42 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 52.38 units returned to 42 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 24.71%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the second rated horses from 40 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17.73 units returned to 40 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -55.67%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 39 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 25.25 units returned to 39 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -35.26%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 13 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 5 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 38.46%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 23.05 units returned to 13 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 77.31%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 13 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 8 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 61.54%

Forecasts

There were 0 forecasts yesterday.

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Salisbury 15:30:00 - The CSF paid £1.79

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Salisbury 17:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £34.60

Catterick 17:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £29.20

Winners

From the 45 rated races there were 21 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 9 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Salisbury	14:00	Arborist (1)	5.50	6.40
Catterick	15:15	Compton River (6)	6.00	6.80
Salisbury	17:00	Eager Beaver (2)	7.00	7.87
Cork	17:25	Born To Be (2)	8.00	10.50
Nottingham	19:05	Southern Belle (5)	6.00	6.80
Chelmsford (AW)	19:20	Firmament (3)	5.50	5.90
Nottingham	19:35	King Of Spin (5)	6.00	6.89
Chelmsford (AW)	20:20	Ecureuil (6)	7.00	8.55
Chelmsford (AW)	20:50	Yasir (4)	10.00	12.84

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Salisbury 14:00 - Never Surrender - Win Bet - Unplaced

2). Catterick 14:15 - Mere Brow - Place Bet - NR

3). Salisbury 14:30 - Syncopation - Place Bet - 2nd @ 2.12

4). Salisbury 15:30 - Labyrinth - Win Bet - 1st @ 1.84

A total of 3.762 points returned to 3 points staked.

So far this month we have had 5.263 points (after commission) returned to 5 points staked.

Place Betting Strategy

Salisbury 14:30:00 - City Dreamer - Unplaced
Nottingham 17:35:00 - Opening Time - Unplaced
Roscommon 18:10:00 - Ballinahow Bill - Unplaced
Roscommon 18:40:00 - Hughies Bay - Unplaced
Roscommon 20:40:00 - Oir Ion - Unplaced

We made a loss of 5 points on the day and have made a loss of 4.164 points for August.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 3.39 points on the day and have made a loss of 2.256384 points for August.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 3.39 points and we have made a loss of 3.39 points for August.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSAug16.xls

Something to make you laugh

One from David O.

Hiliary Clinton and Donald Trump
Hiliary Clinton decided to send Donald Trump a letter to let him know how she felt about him. Trump opened the letter and it appeared to contain a single line coded message:

370HSSV 0773H

Trump was baffled, so he e-mailed it to Vanessa Trump and his children. Vanessa Trump and the children had no clue either, so they sent it to the FBI. No one could solve it at FBI, CIA or NASA.
They eventually asked Britain's MI6 for help. Within minutes, MI6 cabled this reply: "Tell Mr Trump that he is holding the message upside down."

And another from David O.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 42 rated races from six meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards