Morning News

Good morning...

On the face of it, not such an exceptional day, yesterday.

However, if you look closer, there is value to be found.

Let's start with the non-handicap races. For these races the top rated horse had a strike rate of 27.78% and, had you blindly backed those horses, you would have made a profit of 28.17% on your stakes.

For the dutchers...

83.33% of all non-handicap races were won by a top three rated horse.

Obviously, had you done the forecast in every race you would have had £106.47 returned to £52 in stakes.

Had you done the reverse forecast in every race you would have had £140.59 to £104 in stakes.

And, if you had blindly done the Trifecta in every race you wold have had £93.70 returned to £52 in stakes.

So, not all bad, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.08%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.82%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.82% from all 55 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 126.98 units returned to 160 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -20.64%

Top Rated Horse - There were 12 winners from the top rated horses from 52 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 45.28 units returned to 52 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -12.92%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 14 winners from the second rated horses from 55 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 62.87 units returned to 55 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 14.31%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 53 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 18.83 units returned to 53 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -64.47%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 18 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 5 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 27.78%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 23.25 units returned to 18 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 29.17%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 18 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 15 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 83.33%

Forecasts

There were 4 forecasts yesterday.

Sandown 17:35:00 - The CSF paid £5.27

Newcastle (AW) 18:20:00 - The CSF paid £13.03

Sandown 18:45:00 - The CSF paid £27.53

Sandown 19:55:00 - The CSF paid £60.64

Reverse Forecasts

There were 4 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Haydock 14:20:00 - The CSF paid £1.97

Brighton 16:00:00 - The CSF paid £4.31

Haydock 16:50:00 - The CSF paid £8.57

Sligo 20:55:00 - The CSF paid £19.27

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Sandown 17:35:00 - The Trifecta paid £17.30

Sandown 18:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £76.40

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 5 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Haydock 14:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £3.50

Brighton 17:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £2.50

Leopardstown 17:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £22.50

Wolverhampton (AW) 17:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £23.10

Newcastle (AW) 18:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £31.50

Winners

From the 55 rated races there were 31 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 7 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Brighton	15:30	William Hunter (6)	5.50	5.78
Yarmouth	16:40	Kylla Instinct (6)	6.00	6.42
Newcastle (AW)	17:50	Mount Cheiron (9)	21.00	25.83
Sandown	18:45	First Quest (1)	5.50	6.60
Sandown	19:55	Chaplin Bay (6)	6.50	7.06
Leopardstown	20:00	Mcguigan (1)	7.50	8.60
Sligo	20:55	Pats Oscar (4)	7.00	7.40

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Yarmouth 14:10 - Elementary - Win Bet - Unplaced.

2). Haydock 14:20 - Mubtasim - Win Bet - 1st @ 1.73 BSP.

A total of 1.6435 points returned to 2 points staked.

So far this month we have had 8.379 points (after commission) returned to 10 points staked.

Place Betting Strategy

Sligo 17:30:00 - Another Rattler - Unplaced
Leopardstown 17:45:00 - Lancaster Bomber - 1st @1.33

We made a loss of 0.6865 points on the day and have made a loss of 6.8505 points for August.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 0.465447 points on the day and have made a loss of 5.433831 points for August.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) there were no bets and we have made a loss of 4.746 points for August.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSAug16.xls

Something to make you laugh

Bubba & Cooters Pick Up Lines

Thank you for purchasing 'Bubba & Cooter's Book of Sure-fire Pick-up Lines' brought to you by Bubba & Cooter. Enjoy!

1) Did you fart?
cuz you blew me away.

2) Are yer parents retarded?
cuz ya sure are special.

3) My Love fer you is like diarrhea
I can't hold it in.

4) Do you have a library card?
cuz I'd like to sign you out

5) Is there a mirror in yer pants?
cuz I can see myself in em.

6) If you was a tree & I was a Squirrel,
I'd store my nuts in yer hole.

7) You might not be the best lookin girl here,
but beauty's only a light switch away.

8) Man - 'Fat Penguin!'
Woman - 'WHAT?'
Man - 'I just wanted to say something that would break the ice.'

9) I know I'm not no Fred Flintstone,
but I bet I can make yer bed-rock.

10) I can't find my puppy, can you help me find him?
I think he went inta this cheap motel room...

11) Yer eyes are as blue as window cleaner.

12) If yer gunna regret this in the mornin,
we kin sleep til afternoon.

AND.. the best for last!

13) Yer face reminds me of a wrench,
every time I think of it, my nuts tighten up

And a few from Lee...

Today

Today's early test ratings show 41 rated races from six meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards