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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

I've tried very hard to resist the two major temptations in my life today.

The first temptation was to have another lie in and...

The second was not to gloat about the slightly good Tricast that we got in the 13:15 at Punchestown yesterday.

As you can see, I was successful in avoiding the first temptation.

So, what about Punchestown; we predicted the first three in the right order in the 13:15 and the Tricast paid £611.23!

That's good news for you but bad news for me as I now have to spend all day trying to analyse how we got that result - what clues were there to suggest that the Tricast was on the cards.

In other words, what can I do so that I can suggest, in the future, that a race has the same profile?

But, before I get into all that, let's look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25%.

Not wonderful but, with a £611 tricast, how can I complain?

Sorry, I'll try my best not to mention that tricast again.

Forecasts

There was one forecast yesterday.

Punchestown 12:40 - The CSF paid £8.81

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was one tricast yesterday.

Punchestown 13:15 - The Tricast paid £611.23

Whoops, I wasn't going to mention that!

Winners

From the 32 rated races there were 15 winners (from the top 3 rated horses) - four of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Kempton 13:00 Lost Legend 13.0 15.84
Punchestown 13:15 Treacy's Star 5.5 5.74
Wetherby 14:15 Firth of the Clyde 7.5 8.52
Kempton 14:40 Tea for Two 5.5 5.76

Comments...

Here's the actual review of some of the races...

1). Punchestown 12:40 – We got the forecast in this race. The CSF paid £8.81

2). Punchestown 13:15 – We got the first three in this race - in the right order. The Tricast paid £611.23

3). Kempton 13:35 – We got the first three in this race - unfortunately, not in the right order.

4). Kempton 14:10 – We got the first three in this race - unfortunately, not in the right order.

5). Punchestown 14:20 – We got the first three in this race - unfortunately, not in the right order.

6). Lingfield 15:40 – We got the first three in this race - unfortunately, not in the right order.

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet yesterday (but not a Chancer's Bet.)

Bankers Bet = Chase the Winners! = where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Chase and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and the Race\'s RC1 is greater than 70% and Runners was equal to or more than 7 and Runners was equal to or less than 15 and the Horse\'s R4 is greater than 4.0 and the Horse\'s Confidence is greater than 120% and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite

Selection = Back to ISP - Warwick - 13:55:00 - Deputy Dan (1)

Races (over last year): 6 Wins: 4 Strike Rate: 66.67% ROI: 198.68% AV SP: 2.98%

Deputy Dan came third.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Today

Today's 5am ratings show 20 races from 3 meetings.

Kelso 13:40 - Our top rated horse, Thorpe, has a confidence level of 170.38% and has a going win and three going places to his credit. He is dropping 2 classes and is currently the 2nd favourite.

So, as always...

Have a great day's racing!

5 star ratingsOnce again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to Focus Ratings Review and have your say.

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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