Morning News

Good morning...

An average day, yesterday...

Apart from Kempton, that is.

6 of the 7 races there were won by a top three rated horse.

We got 2 forecasts there and, 2 reverse forecasts (one of them paying out £122.69.)

And a slightly good combination trifecta that paid out £327.20.

In fact, even thought here were no trifectas yesterday, had you done the forecast, the reverse forecast, the trifecta and the combination trifecta in all 7 races at Kempton, it would have cost you £70 and would have returned £478.62

I guess that the gods were smiling on Kempton yesterday.

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.83%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.81% from all 42 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 102.37 units returned to 118 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -13.25%

Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 40 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 26.74 units returned to 40 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -33.15%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the second rated horses from 38 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 55.13 units returned to 38 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 45.08%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the third rated horses from 40 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 20.5 units returned to 40 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -48.75%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 14 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 5 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 35.71%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 13.16 units returned to 14 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -6%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 14 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 9 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 64.29%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Newton Abbot 16:10:00 - The CSF paid £8.20

Bath 19:20:00 - The CSF paid £4.20

Kempton (AW) 19:40:00 - The CSF paid £16.11

Reverse Forecasts

There were 4 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Salisbury 16:20:00 - The CSF paid £4.62

Kempton (AW) 18:40:00 - The CSF paid £3.12

Gowran Park 20:30:00 - The CSF paid £10.41

Kempton (AW) 20:40:00 - The CSF paid £122.69

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 4 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Newton Abbot 14:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £44.10

Salisbury 15:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £4.40

Kempton (AW) 19:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £9.50

Kempton (AW) 21:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £327.20

Winners

From the 41 rated races there were 23 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 6 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Beverley	15:30	Age Of Elegance (6)	6.00	6.97
Salisbury	15:50	Chain Of Daisies (1)	6.50	7.80
Beverley	17:35	Mappin Time (2)	5.50	5.07
Gowran Park	20:30	Nearly Famous (4)	5.50	5.20
Kempton (AW)	20:40	Ubla (8)	23.00	46.25
Kempton (AW)	21:10	Gabster (11)	8.00	8.11

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Beverley 14:00 - Mama Africa - Win Bet - Unplaced.

2). Newton Abbot 14:10 - Sky Lino - Place Bet - Unplaced.

3). Salisbury 14:20 - Sfumato - Place Bet - 2nd @ 1.98

4). Beverley 14:30 - Mister Moosah - Place Bet - Unplaced.

5). Salisbury 14:50 - Pine Ridge - Win Bet - 1st @ 4.83

A total of 6.4695 points returned to 5 points staked.

So far this month we have had 18.0975 points (after commission) returned to 26 points staked.

Place Betting Strategy

Newton Abbot 14:10:00 - Sky Lino Unplaced
Salisbury 14:20:00 - Inner Circle Unplaced
Beverley 14:30:00 - Mister Moosah Unplaced
Newton Abbot 14:40:00 - Nachi Falls 1st @ 2.34
Gowran Park 17:30:00 - Cleona - Unplaced
Gowran Park 18:00:00 - All Crazy Now - Unplaced

We made a loss of 3.727 points on the day and have made a loss of 14.2555 points for August.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 5.238906 points on the day and have made a loss of 10.999194 points for August.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 3.882906 and we have made a loss of 11.589732 points for August.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSAug16.xls

Something to make you laugh

Confession

A very elderly couple is having an elegant dinner to celebrate their 75th wedding anniversary.

The old man leans forward and says softly to his wife, "Dear, there is something that I must ask you. It has always bothered me that our tenth child never quite looked like the rest of our children. Now I want to assure you that these 75 years have been the most wonderful experience I could have ever hoped for, and your answer cannot take that all that away. But, I must know, did he have a different father?"

The wife drops her head, unable to look her husband in the eye, she paused for moment and then confessed. "Yes. Yes he did."

The old man is very shaken, the reality of what his wife was admitting hit him harder than he had expected.

With a tear in his eye he asks, "Who? Who was he? Who was the father?"

Again, the old woman drops her head, saying nothing at first as she tried to muster the courage to tell the truth to her husband.

Then, finally, she says: "You."

And a few from Lee...

Today

Today's early test ratings show 49 rated races from seven meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards