Morning News

Good morning...

Another good day for us yesterday but...

I guess that most people are looking forward to today and the start of the Ebor Festival at York.

The early ratings for York don't show too many surprises but festivals always confuse the hell out of me so I'm not going to make any predictions.

Anyway, that's for later, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 32.35%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 32.35%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30.56% from all 36 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 80.03 units returned to 97 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -17.49%

Top Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the top rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 38.05 units returned to 34 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 11.91%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 29.45 units returned to 32 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -7.97%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 12.53 units returned to 31 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -59.58%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 11 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 3 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 27.27%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 4.84 units returned to 11 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -56%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 11 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 6 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 54.55%

Forecasts

There were 5 forecasts yesterday.

Ripon 15:00:00 - The CSF paid £2.55

Ripon 15:30:00 - The CSF paid £1.89

Kempton (AW) 16:45:00 - The CSF paid £10.07

Wolverhampton (AW) 18:00:00 - The CSF paid £9.25

Wolverhampton (AW) 20:30:00 - The CSF paid £4.04

Reverse Forecasts

There were 2 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Kempton (AW) 15:15:00 - The CSF paid £4.71

Kempton (AW) 15:45:00 - The CSF paid £2.44

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Ripon 15:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £1.70

Ripon 15:30:00 - The Trifecta paid £1.10

Wolverhampton (AW) 18:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £53.50

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Wolverhampton (AW) 20:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £15.10

Winners

From the 35 rated races there were 21 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 6 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Ripon	14:00	Arwa (2)	5.50	5.90
Kempton (AW)	14:15	Pike Corner Cross (5)	6.50	6.94
Ripon	16:30	Venutius (2)	10.00	12.00
Ripon	17:00	La Fritillaire (7)	5.50	6.03
Kempton (AW)	17:15	For Ayman (1)	9.00	10.50
Wolverhampton (AW)	19:00	Ripoll (3)	5.50	7.19

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = All Weather Bankers - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and Horse\'s last run was less than 42 days ago and the Race\'s RC1 is greater than 86% and the Horse\'s Confidence is greater than 150% and the Forecast Starting Price was less than 3.1

Selection = Back to ISP - Wolverhampton (AW) - 20:30:00 - Jumping Jack (1)

Races (over last year): 27 Wins: 17 Strike Rate: 62.96% ROI: 118.36% AV SP: 1.88

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £49.60

Jumping Jack won @ 10/11 ISP (2.21 BSP.)

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

1). Kempton (AW) 14:45 - Entrench - Place Bet - 3rd @ 1.41

2). Ripon 15:00 - Proud Archi - Win Bet - 2nd.

3). Kempton (AW) 15:15 - Red Ensign - Win Bet - 1st @ 1.05

A total of 2.337 points returned to 3 points staked.

So far this month we have had 35.9385 points (after commission) returned to 48 points staked.

Place Betting Strategy

Tipperary 17:20:00 - Atlas - NR
Leicester 18:10:00 - Local Artist - 2nd @ 2.56

We made a profit of 1.482 points on the day and have made a loss of 12.527 points for August.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 1.005 points on the day and have made a loss of 5.932839 points for August.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 1.005 and we have made a loss of 6.627789 points for August.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSAug16.xls

Something to make you laugh

Grandma's TV

A 5-year old boy went to visit his grandmother one day.

While playing with his toys in her bedroom while grandma was dusting furniture, he looked up and said, "Grandma, how come you don't have a boyfriend?"

Grandma replied, "Honey, my TV is my boyfriend. I can set in my bedroom and watch it all day long. The TV evangelists keep me company and make me feel so good.
The comedies make me laugh. I'm so happy with my TV as my boyfriend."

Grandma turned on the TV and the picture was horrible. She started adjusting the knobs trying to get the picture in focus. Frustrated, she started hitting on the backside of the TV hoping to fix the problem.

The little boy heard the doorbell ring so he hurried to open the door.

When he opened the door, there stood Grandma's minister. The minister said, "Hello son is your grandma home?"

The little boy replied, "Yeah, she's in the bedroom bangin' her boyfriend."

Today

Today's early test ratings show 39 rated races from six meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards