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Good morning...
A far better day, yesterday...
Although still nothing to write home about.
Once again, blindly backing the top rated horse in the non-handicap races was profitable - yesterday you would have made a profit of 32.69%.
We also got two out of two for our First Page Strategy.
Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25.81%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 28.13%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.47% from all 34 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 58.57 units returned to 93 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -37.02%
Top Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the top rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 24.5 units returned to 31 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -20.97%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the second rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 22.69 units returned to 31 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -26.81%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 11.38 units returned to 31 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -63.29%
Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 13 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 5 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 38.46%
Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17.25 units returned to 13 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 32.69%
Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 13 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 10 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 76.92%
Forecasts
There were 0 forecasts yesterday.
Reverse Forecasts
There were 4 reverse forecasts yesterday.
Worcester 14:10:00 - The CSF paid £2.40
Worcester 16:10:00 - The CSF paid £4.86
Perth 17:40:00 - The CSF paid £3.69
Perth 18:10:00 - The CSF paid £1.61
Tricasts/Trifectas
There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Combination Tricasts/Trifectas
There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Redcar 15:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £216.70
Perth 17:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £6.00
Winners
From the 32 rated races there were 19 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 2 of those were at nice prices.
Course | Time | Horse | ISP | BSP |
Redcar | 14:50 | Kenny The Captain (3) | 5.50 | 6.34 |
Redcar | 15:20 | Aprovado (5) | 9.00 | 9.97 |
There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.
On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.
You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.
If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.
Worcester 14:10 - Rejaah - Win Bet - 1st @ 1.97
Worcester 14:40 - Jarlath - Place Bet - 3rd @ 4.64
A total of 6.2795 points returned to 2 points staked.
So far this month we have had 19.5415 points (after commission) returned to 22 points staked.
Redcar 14:20:00 - Local Artist - Unplaced
Leicester 14:30:00 - Huntsmans Close - Unplaced
Worcester 16:10:00 - Rachels Ruby - Unplaced
Redcar 16:20:00 - Tommy G - Unplaced
Galway 16:25:00 - Fluspar - Unplaced
Galway 16:55:00 - Think of Me - Unplaced
We made a loss of 6 points on the day and have made a loss of 5.0535 points for September.
For the new strategy we made a loss of 6.102 points on the day and have made a profit of 1.441089 points for September.
I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.
For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 4.746 and we have made a profit of 0.526806 points for September.
The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSSep16.xls
Gambling Problem
When I go to casinos, the most ridiculous sign I see is the one that says: "If you have a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER."
I thought about it for a moment and dialed the number. When they answered I said, "I have an ace and a six. The dealer has a seven. What do I do?"
Today's early test ratings show 27 rated races from four meetings.
Have a great day's racing!
As always...
My kindest regards
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