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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

Well...

A reasonably good start to the year with a 45.45% strike rate for the top rated horse across all races.

If you had only concentrated on the non-handicap races then the strike rate for the top rated horse came in at a pretty decent 71.43%.

We seem to do very well on Mondays.

Now, I don't know why this is but...

Numbers are numbers and they don't lie. You might want to look back at recent weeks and months to see that pretty much all of our high strike rate days fall on a Monday.

I'm going to do some analysis but I wish I could think of why that might be.

Any ideas?

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 45.45%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 45.45%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 45.45% from all 22 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 39.51 units returned to 66 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -40.14%

Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 22 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 30.41 units returned to 22 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 38.23%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the second rated horses from 22 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 9.1 units returned to 22 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -58.64%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 1 winners from the third rated horses from 22 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 0 units returned to 22 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -100%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 7 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 5 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 71.43%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 12.58 units returned to 7 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 79.71%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 7 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 6 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 85.71%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Southwell (AW) 12:10:00 - The CSF paid £11.02

Ayr 12:30:00 - The CSF paid £10.48

Plumpton 12:50:00 - The CSF paid £4.33

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Southwell (AW) 14:10:00 - The CSF paid £6.42

Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Plumpton 12:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £10.20

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Ayr 14:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £20.00

Winners

From the 22 rated races there were 14 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 0 of those were at decent prices.

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Ayr - 12:30:00 - Strong Economy (10) - Runners = 13 - 2nd @ 2.88 BSP
Plumpton - 13:20:00 - Baron Alco (1) - Runners = 5 - 1st 1.49 BSP
Ayr - 15:30:00 - Arctic Vodka (2) - Runners = 9 - 0
The results from the 1st of July 2015 may be seen on this spreadsheet... pbs_results.csv

Something to make you smile...

Texas Cowboy

A cowboy, who just moved to Wyoming from Texas , walks into a bar and orders three mugs of Bud. He sits in the back of the room, drinking a sip out of each one in turn. When he finishes them, he comes back to the bar and orders three more.

The bartender approaches and tells the cowboy, "You know, a mug goes flat after I draw it. It would taste better if you bought one at a time."

The cowboy replies, "Well, you see, I have two brothers. One is in Arizona , the other is in Colorado . When we all left our home in Texas , we promised that we'd drink this way to remember the days when we drank together. So I'm drinking one beer for each of my brothers and one for myself."

The bartender admits that this is a nice custom, and leaves it there.

The cowboy becomes a regular in the bar, and always drinks the same way. He orders three mugs and drinks them in turn.

One day, he comes in and only orders two mugs. All the regulars take notice and fall silent. When he comes back to the bar for the second round, the bartender says, "I don't want to intrude on your grief, but I wanted to offer my condolences on your loss."

The cowboy looks quite puzzled for a moment, then a light dawns in his eyes and he laughs.

"Oh, no, everybody's just fine," he explains, "It's just that my wife and I joined the Baptist Church and I had to quit drinking."

"Hasn't affected my brothers though."

Today

Today's early test ratings show 18 rated races from three meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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