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Good morning...
Well, a reasonable day, yesterday.
Had you blindly backed the top rated horse in every race you would have made a 33% profit on your stakes.
I am aware that some of the new links on the Early Bird Preview ratings email don't work.
I shall be working on fixing this today.
One of the problems with adding new features is that often I can't test the links before going live.
Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 0%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 24% from all 25 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 65.55 units returned to 69 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -5%
Top Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the top rated horses from 20 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 26.6 units returned to 20 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 33%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the second rated horses from 24 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 18.75 units returned to 24 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -21.87%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the third rated horses from 25 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 20.2 units returned to 25 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -19.2%
Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 9 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 3 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 33.33%
Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 8.6 units returned to 9 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -4.44%
Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 9 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 6 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 66.67%
Forecasts
There were 2 forecasts yesterday.
Warwick 12:55:00 - The CSF paid £3.26
Gowran Park 16:10:00 - The CSF paid £1.250
Reverse Forecasts
There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.
Wolverhampton (AW) 21:00:00 - The CSF paid £13.48
Trifectas
There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Combination Tricasts/Trifectas
There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.
Gowran Park 13:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £15.50
Winners
From the 25 rated races there were 14 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 7 of those were at nice prices.
Course | Time | Horse | ISP | BSP |
Southwell (AW) | 13:05 | My Renaissance (1) | 7.00 | 7.72 |
Gowran Park | 13:20 | Adreamstillalive (8) | 5.50 | 6.98 |
Southwell (AW) | 14:45 | Upgrade (3) | 7.00 | 7.99 |
Warwick | 16:20 | Cirano De Sivola (4) | 7.50 | 9.40 |
Wolverhampton (AW) | 19:30 | Hallstatt (4) | 9.00 | 8.55 |
Wolverhampton (AW) | 20:00 | Mums The Word (5) | 7.50 | 8.07 |
Wolverhampton (AW) | 20:30 | Pivotal Dream (9) | 5.50 | 5.91 |
There was a Banker's Bet ( but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.
Bankers Bet = AW Handicap Claimers - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is a Claimer and where the Race is a Handicap Race and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December
Selection = Back to ISP - Wolverhampton (AW) - 19:30:00 - English Summer (3)
Races (over last year): 10 Wins: 4 Strike Rate: 40.00% ROI: 112.40% AV SP: 2.81
Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £12.40
English Summer was unplaced.
On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.
You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.
If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.
There were no PBS selections yesterday.
The results from the 1st of July 2015 may be seen on this spreadsheet... pbs_results.csv
The Potty
A Little Three Year Old Boy Is Sitting On The Toilet.His Mother Thinks He Has Been In There Too Long, So She Goes In To See What's Up.
The Little Boy Is Sitting On The Toilet Reading A Book. But About Every 10 Seconds Or So He Puts The Book Down, Grips Onto To The Toilet Seat With His Left Hand And Hits Himself On Top Of The Head With His Right Hand.
His Mother Says: "billy, Are You All Right?you've Been In Here For A While...
Billy Says: "i'm Fine, Mommy.. I Just Haven't Gone 'doody' Yet."
Mother Says: "ok, You Can Stay Here A Few More Minutes.but, Billy, Why Are You Hitting Yourself On The Head?"
Billy Says: "works For Ketchup."
Today's early test ratings show 41 rated races from six meetings.
There are two unrated races.
As there are 43 actual races today it appears that there are no missing races today.
Have a great day's racing!
As always...
My kindest regards
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