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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

Another decent day, yesterday.

Had you blindly backed every top rated horse in every race you would have made a profit of 76.61% on your stakes.

Had you blindly done the trifecta on every race you would have had £38.70 returned to your £28 in stakes.

Had you blindly done the forecast on every race you would have had £101.83 returned to your £28 in stakes.

More interesting is the new strategy that I am looking at.

Here are the results...

Betfair Win Bets

1). Wincanton - 13:25 - Azzuri - NR
2). Towcester - 13:35 - Count Meribel - 2nd
3). Clonmel - 14:25 - Monalee - 1st @ 2.56 BSP
4). Wincanton - 14:35 - Hitherjacques Lady - 1st @ 1.65 BSP
5). Clonmel - 15:35 - Clarcam - 1st @ 2.28 BSP
6). Wincanton 16:15 - Tony Star - 4th
7). Chelmsford - 20:00 - Angel of Darkness - NR

6.1655 points were returned (after commission) to 5 points staked.

Betfair Win Bets

1). Wincanton - 13:25 - Azzuri - NR
2). Towcester - 13:35 - Count Meribel - 2nd @ 1.24 BFPP
3). Clonmel - 14:25 - Monalee - 1st @ 1.62 BFPP
4). Wincanton - 14:35 - Hitherjacques Lady - 1st @ 1.08 BFPP
5). Clonmel - 15:35 - Clarcam - 1st @ 1.26 BFPP
6). Wincanton 16:15 - Tony Star - 4th
7). Chelmsford - 20:00 - Angel of Darkness - NR

4.94 points were returned (after commission) to 5 points staked.

Whilst we had an overall strike rate (for the top rated horse) of 39.29%, by looking only at the race types which have been successful over the last 28 days, we increase the strike rate to 60%.

For more detail, here are the results of all races in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 39.29%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 0%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 36.36% from all 33 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 73.75 units returned to 88 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -16.19%

Top Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the top rated horses from 28 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 49.45 units returned to 28 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 76.61%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the second rated horses from 29 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 20.8 units returned to 29 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -28.28%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 1 winners from the third rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 3.5 units returned to 31 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -88.71%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 9 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 4 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 44.44%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 9.57 units returned to 9 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 6.33%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 9 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 5 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 55.56%

Forecasts

There were 4 forecasts yesterday.

Clonmel 13:50:00 - The CSF paid £9.41

Southwell (AW) 14:55:00 - The CSF paid £13.78

Southwell (AW) 15:30:00 - The CSF paid £5.11

Wincanton 15:45:00 - The CSF paid £73.53

Reverse Forecasts

There were 2 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Towcester 13:35:00 - The CSF paid £2.53

Towcester 14:45:00 - The CSF paid £23.33

Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Southwell (AW) 14:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £38.70

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Winners

From the 32 rated races there were 16 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Southwell (AW) 14:20 Footlight (2) 5.50 6.40
Towcester 14:45 What A Diva (2) 7.00 7.63
Wincanton 15:45 Dusky Lark (4) 13.00 14.59
Towcester 16:25 Present Times (4) 7.00 7.80
Southwell (AW) 16:35 Vroom (4) 9.00 9.60

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

First Page Strategy

Towcester - 13:35:00 - Top Ville Ben (1) - Bet Type = Win Bet - 1st @ 1.40 BSP

The results from the 1st of July 2015 may be seen on this spreadsheet... fps_results.csv

Place Betting Strategy

Towcester - 13:35:00 - Generous Day (5) - Runners = 8 - 0
Clonmel - 13:50:00 - So Sorry Sarah (17) - Runners = 21 - 4th @ 2.70 BSP
Wincanton - 14:35:00 - Grace Tara (1) - Runners = 8 - 2nd @ 1.14 BSP
Wincanton - 16:45:00 - Cogburn (3) - Runners = 12 - 0

The results from the 1st of July 2015 may be seen on this spreadsheet... pbs_results.csv

Something to make you smile...

Twins
There were these twin sisters just turning one hundred years old in St. Luke's Nursing Home and the editor of the Cambridge rag, "The Cambridge Distorter," told a photographer to get over there and take the pictures of these 100 year old twin bitteys.

One of the twins was hard of hearing and the other could hear quite well.

The photographer asked them to sit on the sofa and the deaf one said to her twin, "WHAT DID HE SAY?"

He said, "WE GOTTA SIT OVER THERE ON THE SOFA!" said the other.

"Now get a little closer together," said the cameraman.

Again, "WHAT DID HE SAY?"

"HE SAYS SQUEEZE TOGETHER A LITTLE." So they wiggled up close to each other.

"Just hold on for a bit longer, I've got to focus a little," said the photographer.

Yet again, "WHAT DID HE SAY?"

"HE SAYS HE'S GONNA FOCUS!"

With a big grin the deaf twin shouted out, "OH MY GOD - BOTH OF US?"

Today

Today's early test ratings show 27 rated races from four meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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