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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

So, I take a day off and we have an excellent day.

Is there a correlation there; should I take a day off more often?

Here are the headlines...

Our top rated horse won 43.75% of all the races.

If you'd backed the top rated horse (to £1 stakes), in every race, you'd had have £48.86 returned for an outlay of £32.

There were 5 Forecasts; if you had done the £1 forecast on every race it would have cost you £32 and you'd have had £70.82 returned.

There was 1 Tricast; if you had done the £1 tricast on every race it would have cost you £32 and you'd have had £55.48 returned.

There's so much to say about yesterday so, let's look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 43.75%.

We can't really complain about that.

Forecasts

There were five forecasts yesterday.

Naas 12:45 - The CSF paid £7.71

Naas 13:20 - The CSF paid £2.14

Haydock 13:30 - The CSF paid £5.82

Taunton 14:50 - The CSF paid £13.58

Lingfield 15:45 - The CSF paid £36.70

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were two tricasts/trifecta yesterday.

Haydock 14:05 - The Trifecta paid £7.10

Taunton 15:55 - The Tricast paid £55.48

Winners

From the 32 rated races there were too many, sorry - 22 winners (from the top 3 rated horses) - four of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Haydock 12:55 Wakanda 9.0 9.6
Lingfield 14:00 History Book 5.5 5.96
Ascot 14:25 Baradari 6.5 7.4
Taunton 15:55 Virtual D'oudon 8.0 8.62

Comments...

Here's the actual review of some of the races...

1). Ascot 12:40 – We got the first three in this race - unfortunately, not in the right order.

2). Ascot 13:20 – We got the first three in this race - in the right order. It was a 6 horse race so there was no Tricast. The CSF paid £2.14

3). Haydock 13:30 – We got the forecast in this race. The CSF paid £5.82

4). Ascot 13:50 – We got the first three in this race - unfortunately, not in the right order.

5). Lingfield 14:00 – We got the first three in this race - unfortunately, not in the right order.

6). Haydock 14:05 – We got the first three in this race - in the right order. The Trifecta paid £7.10

7). Taunton 14:50 – We got the forecast in this race. The CSF paid £13.58

8). Lingfield 15:45 – We got the forecast in this race. The CSF paid £36.70

9). Haydock 15:50 – We got the forecast in this race. The CSF paid £4.89

10). Taunton 15:55 – We got the first three in this race - in the right order. The Tricast paid £55.48

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet yesterday (but not a Chancer's Bet.)

Bankers Bet = AW High RC2 Handicaps - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is a Handicap Race and the Race\'s RC2 is greater than 60% and Runners was equal to or less than 8

Selection = Back to ISP - Lingfield (AW) - 12:50:00 - Crakehall Lad (7)

Races (over last year): 20 Wins: 4 Strike Rate: 20.00% ROI: 132.20% AV SP: 6.61%

Crakehall Lad came second.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Today

Today's 5am ratings show 14 races from 2 meetings.

I'm not going to do any analysis today as I really need to get on with the Speed Ratings.

There was a major breakthrough, yesterday and I'll have something to say about that later on.

Thank you to all of you who offered suggestions; the solution is far easier than I anticipated; as is often the case when you stand back and look at things logically.

So, as always...

Have a great day's racing!

5 star ratingsOnce again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to Focus Ratings Review and have your say.

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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