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Good morning...
Yesterday was another day when you could have blindly backed the top rated horse in every race,
Not that I encourage you to do so,
And you would have made a profit of 5.79% on your stakes.
The big news though...
Was the Betfred Eider Handicap Chase.
The ratings correctly predicted the winner.
Mysteree won at 10/1 (14.77 BSP.)
For more detail, here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results
Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.81%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 27.03%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25.53% from all 47 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 111.63 units returned to 115 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -2.93%
Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 42 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 44.43 units returned to 42 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 5.79%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the second rated horses from 36 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 30.95 units returned to 36 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -14.03%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 37 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 36.25 units returned to 37 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -2.03%
Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 21 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 4 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 19.05%
Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 9.28 units returned to 21 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -55.81%
Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 21 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 11 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 52.38%
Forecasts
There were 2 forecasts yesterday.
Newcastle 15:20:00 - The CSF paid £2.69
Wolverhampton (AW) 19:45:00 - The CSF paid £6.97
Reverse Forecasts
There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.
Kempton 13:50:00 - The CSF paid £46.35
Newcastle 15:55:00 - The CSF paid £1.59
Newcastle 17:05:00 - The CSF paid £4.51
Trifectas
There were 2 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Newcastle 15:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £2.90
Wolverhampton (AW) 19:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £13.40
Combination Tricasts/Trifectas
There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Kempton 14:25:00 - The Trifecta paid £5.00
Fairyhouse 16:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £108.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 18:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £11.70
Winners
From the 44 rated races there were 23 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 8 of those were at nice prices.
Course | Time | Horse | ISP | BSP |
Kempton | 13:15 | River Frost (3) | 6.00 | 6.54 |
Kempton | 13:50 | Master Blueyes (6) | 7.50 | 9.90 |
Lingfield (AW) | 14:05 | Royal Birth (6) | 9.00 | 10.52 |
Lingfield (AW) | 14:40 | Chevallier (2) | 5.50 | 6.62 |
Newcastle | 14:45 | Mysteree (15) | 11.00 | 14.77 |
Kempton | 16:10 | Sir Note (1) | 8.00 | 9.02 |
Chepstow | 16:50 | Modeligo (2) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
Lingfield (AW) | 17:00 | Music Major (7) | 15.00 | 17.16 |
There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.
Bankers Bet = High Yield UK Bumpers - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Flat and where Country = UK and where RC0 (Good Race/Bad Race) = 1 and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December and the Yield was more than 7
Selection = Back to ISP - Chepstow - 17:20:00 - Crucial Role (1)
Races (over last year): 12 Wins: 2 Strike Rate: 16.67% ROI: 154.20% AV SP: 9.25
Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £65.00
Crucial Role came 3rd.
On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.
You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.
If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.
There were no selections yesterday.
The results from the 1st of July 2015 may be seen on this spreadsheet... fps_results.csv
Chepstow - 14:30:00 - Mystical Knight (3) - Runners = 6 - 3rd
The results from the 1st of July 2015 may be seen on this spreadsheet... pbs_results.csv
The Lion
Ben went on safari with his wife and mother-in-law.
One evening, while still deep in the jungle, the Mrs. awoke to find her mother gone.
Rushing to her husband, she insisted on them both trying to find her mother.
Ben picked up his rifle, took a swig of whiskey, and started to look for her.
In a clearing not far from the camp, they came upon a chilling sight: the mother-in-law was backed up against a thick, impenetrable bush, and a large male lion stood facing her.
The wife said, ''What are we going to do?''
''Nothing,'' said Ben, ''The lion got himself into this mess, let him get himself out of it.''
Today's early test ratings show 20 rated races from three meetings.
Have a great day's racing!
As always...
My kindest regards
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