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Good morning...
Overall, yesterday was a pretty good day.
Had you done the forecast in every race you would have had £35.71 returned to your £19 in stakes.
Our Banker's Bet won and...
Our First Page Strategy returned 10.412 points (after 5% commission) to 5 points staked.
Now that Cheltenham is over I can concentrate on the normal day to day stuff.
For more detail, here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results
Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.32%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 18.52% from all 27 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 47.6 units returned to 58 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -17.93%
Top Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the top rated horses from 19 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 14.27 units returned to 19 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -24.89%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the second rated horses from 20 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 26.58 units returned to 20 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 32.9%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the third rated horses from 19 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 6.75 units returned to 19 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -64.47%
Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 11 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 5 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 45.45%
Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 14.27 units returned to 11 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 29.73%
Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 11 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 9 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 81.82%
Forecasts
There were 3 forecasts yesterday.
Navan 14:40:00 - The CSF paid £4.60
Limerick 14:50:00 - The CSF paid £4.84
Limerick 17:05:00 - The CSF paid £26.27
Reverse Forecasts
There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.
Limerick 13:50:00 - The CSF paid £6.99
Limerick 14:20:00 - The CSF paid £5.19
Limerick 16:00:00 - The CSF paid £10.94
Trifectas
There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.
Navan 14:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £10.30
Combination Tricasts/Trifectas
There were 0 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Winners
From the 26 rated races there were 13 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 2 of those were at nice prices.
Course | Time | Horse | ISP | BSP |
Limerick | 16:00 | Daisys Gift (2) | 6.50 | 8.16 |
Limerick | 16:35 | Paper Lantern (3) | 6.00 | 6.74 |
There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.
Bankers Bet = Irish Logic - where R4 Status = 1 and the Horse's Average R4 is greater than 4.0 and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse's last run was less than 14 days ago and where Position last time out = Unplaced and where Country = IRE and Horse was NOT a Course Winner and Horse was NOT a Distance Winner
Selection = Back to ISP - Navan - 14:40:00 - Chirico Vallis (4)
Races (over last year): 16 Wins: 6 Strike Rate: 37.50% ROI: 158.63% AV SP: 4.23
Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £93.80
Chirico Vallis won @ 4/7 (1.63 BSP.)
On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.
You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.
If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.
Limerick - 13:50:00 - Fit To Be Tied (2) - Bet Type = Win Bet - 1st @ 3.67 BSP
Navan - 14:10:00 - Monbeg Notorious (4) - Bet Type = Win Bet - 1st @ 4.60 BSP
Carlisle - 14:15:00 - Bruichladdich (2) - Bet Type = Place Bet - NR
Limerick - 14:20:00 - Kate Appleby Shoes (2) - Bet Type = Win Bet - 1st @ 2.69 BSP
Ffos Las - 14:30:00 - Ninepointsixthree (5) - Bet Type = Place Bet - 0
Navan - 14:40:00 - Kings War (6) - Bet Type = Win Bet - 2nd
The results may be seen on this spreadsheet... fps_results.csv
Limerick - 13:50:00 - Polar Present (4) - Runners = 8 - 4th
Limerick - 14:20:00 - Danali (1) - Runners = 9 - 0
Ffos Las - 14:30:00 - Ninepointsixthree (5) - Runners = 8 - 0
Navan - 14:40:00 - Banjo (2) - Runners = 13 - 3rd @ 1.94 BSP
Limerick - 16:00:00 - Not For Burning (4) - Runners = 7 - 0
Limerick - 17:05:00 - Captain Bizarro (2) - Runners = 7 - 2nd @ 4.18 BSP
The results from the 1st of July 2015 may be seen on this spreadsheet... pbs_results.csv
Job Interview
A mathematician, an accountant and an economist apply for the same job.The interviewer calls in the mathematician and asks "What do two plus two equal?"
The mathematician replies "Four."
The interviewer asks "Four, exactly?"
The mathematician looks at the interviewer incredulously and says
"Yes, four, exactly."
Then the interviewer calls in the accountant and asks the same question
"What do two plus two equal?"
The accountant says "On average, four - give or take ten percent, but on average, four."
Then the interviewer calls in the economist and poses the same question
"What do two plus two equal?"
The economist gets up, locks the door, closes the shade, sits down next
to the interviewer and says "What do you want it to equal?"
And one from Lee...
Today's early test ratings show 19 rated races from three meetings.
Have a great day's racing!
As always...
My kindest regards
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