Focus Ratings is a Uk and Irish Horse Racing ratings service designed to aid you and help you narrow the field so that you can concentrate on the real contenders. Our completely computerised analysis system selects the top three rated horses from each race and sends out the ratings every day at 10:00 a.m.  Wonderful results and an excellent strike rate.  Use Focus Ratings to win more money and make more profits from British and Irish Horse Racing.  The only horse racing system you'll ever need.

Morning News

importantGood morning...

This will a longer than usual Morning News today as I have got a lot to talk about.

And, I'm in kind of a hurry.

So, if you don't normally read the Morning News, please try to make the effort today as what we decide will determine how Focus Ratings continues in the next year or so.

And I really want your input on that!

But, enough of that, let's start off by looking at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 15.38%.

Not such a great headline figure but...

Yesterday was another of those days where you could have blindly backed the top three rated horses and made a level stakes profit.

By backing all 38 top three rated horses (to £1 stakes) would have cost you £38 and you would have seen a return of £44.63.

Forecasts

There were no forecasts yesterday.

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were no tricasts/trifecta yesterday.

Winners

From the 13 rated races there were 8 winners (from the top 3 rated horses) - five of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Wetherby 13:05 Billy Two Tongues 5.5 5.97
Southwell 13:25 Chilworth Bells 9.0 11.0
Wetherby 13:40 Rowdy Rocher 6.0 6.4
Wetherby 14:45 Clondaw Knight 11.0 11.31
Southwell 15:05 Luv U Whatever 7.0 7.36

Comments...

There really isn't too much that I can say about yesterday's racing.

1). Wetherby 13:05 - We got the first three in this race; unfortunately, not in the right order.

2). Wetherby 15:50 - Our third rated horse was a non-runner. The Live Ratings brought in Rayadour as the new third rated horse. Rayadour went on to win at 8.0 ISP (9.63 BSP.)

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Business as usual

In preparation for the Speed Ratings I have been doing some work on how I shall display them.

As a result, on a new format PDF, I have truncated the Jockey and Trainer names (thus, Sebastian Smith becomes S Smith) and that has given me a lot of space.

I have added (or changed) the following...

1). Race Header. The two lines that describe the actual race have been condensed down to just one line. All the current information is retained and, in addition, the Average Seconds per Furlong that we can expect from the race is also displayed. By making these changes we now go from 7 races per page to 8 races per page.

2). Lifetime runs for that discipline. This will just be a simple number; if today's race is a NH Chase, then it will show how many Chases that horse has run in (regardless of how many Bumpers and Hurdles.)

3). Last Code. This will show the code of the last race that the horse has run in. If it is different from the code of today's race, this will be highlighted in bold.

4). Change in Jockey. If Neddy is normally ridden by Tony McCoy (and does pretty well) but Mr. McCoy has a cold and is taking the day off and Andy the Apprentice is riding the horse, this will be highlighted.

5). Speed Rating Rank. This is a simple number. 1 means the fastest horse in the race, 2 means the second fastest horse in the race etc. If the fastest horse in the race is also the top rated (by R4) horse then this will be in bold.

6). Actual Speed Rating. This will show the horse's Average Speed per Furlong with a + or - to show if the horse is getting faster or not.

7). Change in Distance. This will show any difference in distance between today's race and the horse's last race. Once we get used to the Speed Ratings this might become an important metric

8). % difference between R4 and Average R4. Just a number to show how the horse's ratings today compare with it's Average Rating. If this is more than 100% then it is highlighted in bold.

9). Jockey Allowance. When a Jockey has a weight allowance, this will be shown (in brackets) after the Jockey's name.

10). Average R4 Rank. If a top three rated horse has the highest Average R4 in that race then the Average R4 figure will be highlighted in bold.

Over to you...

Now...

Is there anything else that I should add?

Is there anything that you have to look up from another site?

I don't just want to add things purely for the sake of adding them.

So, if you are thinking about asking for something please consider whether it is really that important.

I'll try to explain.

The real value of Focus Ratings is actually, the ratings.

We're seeing that at the moment as many times a week, we are showing a level stakes profit by blindly backing the top three rated horses.

By adding too much to the PDF, we risk distracting from the actual ratings.

Going Forward...

Once the Speed Figures and the Winter Upgrades are completed I shall not be changing things until next winter.

The one possible exception is that I may be able to combine R4 and the Speed Ratings to create a new Rating. However, that is going to take loads of work and I don't anticipate doing that any time soon.

I guess what I am trying to say is that... "This is it for this year; speak now or forever keep your peace!"

Last year I intended to take the Summer off.

Obviously, I would have been around every day to check that the ratings were going out and to answer emails but...

I didn't want to get involved in any major projects.

Then the Builder came along.

Now, I have to say that since I implemented the Builder, it is very rare that I get asked to produce one off analysis spreadsheets so, overall, it has saved me a lot of time.

However, this year, from June to the end of August, it's going to be a minimal work zone for me.

Between now and then, I shall be working on the following...

1). Complete the Speed Ratings.

2). Finish the Winter Upgrades.

3). Re-visit the work I started on Dutching.

4). Take another look at predicting those races where we are more likely to get a Forecast or Tricast.

5). Come up with a way of picking 3 horses each day for a combination bet to add to the Portfolio.

6). Increase the number of systems that generate the Portfolio Bet.

7). Update the Builder to include the Speed Ratings and the new metrics that I have described above.

That should be enough to keep me busy.

Today

Today's 4am ratings show 34 races from 5 meetings.

I'm not going to do any analysis today as I really need to get on with the Speed Ratings.

Have a great day's racing!

5 star ratingsOnce again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to Focus Ratings Review and have your say.

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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