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Good morning...
Well, what a disappointing day for us.
Normally Mondays are very good for us - last Monday we have a strike rate (for the top rated horse) of 45%.
I know that I've often speculated about the effect of weather on the performance of horses (and their jockeys.)
If yesterday was anywhere as near as hot in the UK as it was over here then could that have had an effect?
Anyway, a bad day for us so let's hope that today is better.
For more detail, here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results
Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.02%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 20%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 15.38% from all 52 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 135.66 units returned to 144 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -5.79%
Top Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the top rated horses from 47 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 30.4 units returned to 47 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -35.32%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 13 winners from the second rated horses from 47 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 61.26 units returned to 47 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 30.34%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the third rated horses from 50 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 44 units returned to 50 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -12%
Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 18 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 4 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 22.22%
Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 9.9 units returned to 18 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -45%
Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 18 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 14 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 77.78%
Forecasts
There was 1 forecast yesterday.
Cartmel 14:20:00 - The CSF paid £3.05
Reverse Forecasts
There were 2 reverse forecasts yesterday.
Ripon 14:10:00 - The CSF paid £8.94
Epsom 16:20:00 - The CSF paid £4.03
Trifectas
There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.
Cartmel 14:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £3.80
Combination Tricasts/Trifectas
There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Chepstow 13:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £64.30
Chepstow 14:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £9.50
Roscommon 19:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £10.60
Winners
From the 50 rated races there were 30 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 11 of those were at nice prices.
Course | Time | Horse | ISP | BSP |
Chepstow | 13:15 | Corporal Maddox (6) | 11.00 | 12.99 |
Epsom | 14:05 | Deadly Accurate (2) | 5.50 | 6.68 |
Southwell (AW) | 14:35 | Monsieur Jimmy (5) | 6.00 | 6.57 |
Ripon | 15:20 | Hee Haw (2) | 5.50 | 6.31 |
Southwell (AW) | 15:45 | Shine Baby Shine (14) | 9.00 | 10.57 |
Cartmel | 16:40 | Brave Spartacus (4) | 6.00 | 7.07 |
Downpatrick | 16:45 | Polymath (4) | 6.00 | 7.20 |
Roscommon | 17:00 | Sollertia (1) | 6.00 | 6.60 |
Ripon | 17:35 | Strictly Art (4) | 5.50 | 6.60 |
Cartmel | 17:45 | Dotties Dilema (3) | 7.00 | 7.60 |
Roscommon | 19:30 | On The Go Again (5) | 7.50 | 7.97 |
There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.
Bankers Bet = Flat Big Field Maiden Favs - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Maiden Race and Runners was equal to or more than 16 and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite
Selection = Back to ISP - Roscommon - 17:30:00 - Invincible Ryker (5)
Races (over last year): 21 Wins: 8 Strike Rate: 38.10% ROI: 148.21% AV SP: 3.89
Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £101.20
Invincible Ryker came second.
On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.
You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.
If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.
Southwell (AW) - 13:30:00 - Jabbarockie (2) - Bet Type = Win Bet - 1st @ 4.04 BSP
The results from the 1st of July 2015 may be seen on this spreadsheet... fps_results.csv
Epsom - 16:20:00 - Ayrad (2) - Runners = 6 - 4th
Roscommon - 18:30:00 - Winston Wolfe (11) - Runners = 15 - 3rd @ 1.99 BSP
The results from the 1st of July 2015 may be seen on this spreadsheet... pbs_results.csv
Wake Up Call
A man and his wife were having some problems at home and were giving each other the silent treatment.
Suddenly, the man realized that the next day, he would need his wife to wake him at 5:00 AM for an early morning business flight. Not wanting to be the first to break the silence (and LOSE), he wrote on a piece of paper, "Please wake me at 5:00 AM." He left it where he knew she would find it.
The next morning, the man woke up, only to discover it was 9:00 AM and he had missed his flight. Furious, he was about to go and see why his wife didn't wake him up, when he noticed a piece of paper by the bed. The paper said, "It is 5:00 AM. Wake up."
Power Outage
During a recent power outage my PC, Laptop, TV, DVD, IPAD, and a new surround sound system were all shut down.
Also my cell phone battery was dead.
To make matters worse it was raining so I couldn't play golf.
So I go to the kitchen to make coffee, OOPS, the coffee maker requires power, so I sit down and talked to my wife for a couple of hours.
You know, she seems like a nice person.
Today's early test ratings show 35 rated races from five meetings. Every race is rated.
Have a great day's racing!
As always...
My kindest regards
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