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Good morning...
After a bit of a shaky start...
I was pleasantly surprised with the results for yesterday.
It wasn't so much the strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 33.33% (although, that's pretty good.)
It was more the prices of some of the winners.
That meant that, had you blindly backed the top rated horse in every race (not that I would suggest you do that) you would have made a profit of 32.88%.
For more detail, here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results
There were plenty of forecasts yesterday. I like this because I am convinced that the number of forecasts (and reverse forecasts) are a really good indicator of the accuracy of the ratings. Trifectas and combination trifectas even more so.
Had you blindly backed the forecast in every race you would have had £44.93 returned to your £42 in stakes.
Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 33.33%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 34.88%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 32.56% from all 43 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 123.33 units returned to 125 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -1.34%
Top Rated Horse - There were 14 winners from the top rated horses from 42 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 55.81 units returned to 42 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 32.88%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the second rated horses from 42 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 37.12 units returned to 42 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -11.62%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 41 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 30.4 units returned to 41 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -25.85%
Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 21 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 8 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 38.1%
Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 21.48 units returned to 21 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 2.29%
Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 21 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 14 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 66.67%
Forecasts
There were 6 forecasts yesterday.
Fairyhouse 13:45:00 - The CSF paid £3.29
Kempton 13:50:00 - The CSF paid £2.11
Kempton 14:25:00 - The CSF paid £4.65
Chepstow 14:30:00 - The CSF paid £3.48
Lingfield (AW) 14:40:00 - The CSF paid £2.28
Lingfield (AW) 17:00:00 - The CSF paid £29.12
Reverse Forecasts
There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.
Wolverhampton (AW) 19:15:00 - The CSF paid £18.98
Trifectas
There were 2 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Fairyhouse 13:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £4.90
Lingfield (AW) 14:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £5.20
Combination Tricasts/Trifectas
There were 5 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Newcastle (AW) 14:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £9.90
Newcastle (AW) 17:05:00 - The Trifecta paid £9.10
Wolverhampton (AW) 18:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £24.70
Wolverhampton (AW) 19:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £51.60
Wolverhampton (AW) 19:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £89.20
New Job for the College Graduate
A young man, hired by a supermarket, reported for his first day of work.
The manager greeted him with a warm handshake and a smile, gave him a broom and said, "Your first job will be to sweep out the store."
"But I'm a college graduate," the young man replied indignantly.
"Oh, I'm sorry. I didn't know that," said the manager. "Here, give me the broom, I'll show you how."
Today's early test ratings show 21 rated races from three meetings.
Have a great day's racing!
As always...
My kindest regards
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