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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

So, rather later than normal...

Here's a quick review of yesterday.

And a look at those horses that were highest on Average R4.

With Catterick cancelled it was a bit of a quiet day yesterday.

But, before we get into all that,

Let's take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 15.38%.

Not so good as Thursday, I have to say.

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 68.8 units returned to 78 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 88.20%

Had you blindly backed the top rated horse in every race you would have had 11.5 units returned to 26 units staked.

Forecasts

There were two forecasts yesterday.

Chepstow 16:05 - The CSF paid £7.38

Wolverhampton 19:15 - The CSF paid £22.18

If you had blindly backed the forecast in every race, with just these two results, you would have been in profit! In fact, you'd have had 29.56 units returned for an outlay of 26 units.

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were no tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Winners

From the 26 rated races there were 19 winners (from the top 3 rated horses) - five of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Lingfield 14:00 Sparring 5.5 6.6
Lingfield 15:10 Prince of Paris 7.0 7.2
Wolverhampton 17:45 Off the Pulse 7.0 7.21
Dundalk 20:05 The Dancing Lord 9.0 13.0
Dundalk 20:35 Corker Hill 9.5 11.19

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet yesterday (but no Chancer's Bet.)

Bankers Bet = High Yield UK Bumpers - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Flat and where Country = UK and where RC0 (Good Race/Bad Race) = 1 and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December and the Yield was more than 7

Selection = Back to ISP - Chepstow - 16:35:00 - Miss Serious (7)

Races (over last year): 17 Wins: 4 Strike Rate: 23.53% ROI: 111.77% AV SP: 4.75

Miss Serious came fourth.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Today

Yesterday, the horses with the highest Average R4 in the race were as follows...

Lingfield 13:30 - Uganda Glory - came 2nd 4/2.04
Lingfield 14:35 - Volito - came last
Chepstow 15:30 - Bandit Country - came sixth
Lingfield 15:45 - Jersey Bull - came third 13/2.6
Lingfield 16:15 - Estibdaad - won 11/3.74
Wolves 16:45 - Stanlow - came seventh
Wolves 17:15 - City of Angkor Wat - came third 6/1.95
Dundalk 17:35 - Mountain Kingdom - came third 4.5/1.66
Wolves 17:45 - Perfect Cracker - came third 9/2.72
Dundalk 18:05 - Almadaa - came fourth
Wolves 18:15 - Petergate - came seventh
Dundalk 18:35 - Burren View Lady - came ninth
Wolves 18:45 - Tango Sky - came seventh
Wolves 19:15 - Black Dave - came fourth
Dundalk 19:35 - Rest Assured - came second 7/2.49
Dundalk 20:05 - Doc Holliday - came seventh
Dundalk 20:35 - Alvar - came sixth
Dundalk 21:05 - Blue Ridge Lane - came twelfth

17.2 units returned to 18 units staked (assuming you were betting on the Betfair Place Market) which is a loss but, it was a loss on a day when the ratings weren't so good.

I still have a nagging feeling that this is a metric that someone is going to work out and make a lot of money from; I'm just not sure how.

For any of you who are interested, here are today's highest Av R4 horses...

Course RC0 Time Run Horse AV R4 HC SP Conf Yield
Ffos Las 1 12:55:00 9 Filatore 4.06 No 6.25 100.00 6.25
Wetherby 1 13:00:00 10 May Hay 3.58 No 2.75 90.77 2.5
Fairyhouse 3 13:20:00 11 Witness Of Fashion 4.05 Yes 12.00 93.26 11.19
Ffos Las 3 13:30:00 8 Key To The West 4.61 Yes 5.75 83.12 4.78
Sandown 3 13:50:00 8 Brick Red 4.28 Yes 4.50 107.81 4.85
Fairyhouse 3 13:55:00 9 Carrigmoorna Rock 3.76 No 2.75 131.78 3.62
Ffos Las 3 14:05:00 14 Oscar Sunset 5.00 Yes 6.75 91.93 6.21
Wetherby 3 14:10:00 8 Indian Voyage 4.56 Yes 6.50 83.87 5.45
Lingfield (AW) 3 14:20:00 12 Mimi Luke 4.27 Yes 7.25 100.00 7.25
Fairyhouse 1 14:30:00 15 Hostile Fire 3.80 No 3.25 117.49 3.82
Ffos Las 3 14:40:00 10 Tarraco 4.52 Yes 15.00 71.69 10.75
Wetherby 3 14:45:00 12 Wayward Glance 4.32 Yes 9.00 89.92 8.09
Lingfield (AW) 3 14:55:00 8 Mindurownbusiness 4.39 Yes 4.50 81.05 3.65
Sandown 3 15:00:00 12 Hansupfordetroit 4.05 Yes 12.00 81.54 9.78
Fairyhouse 1 15:05:00 20 Killiney Court 3.88 No 6.50 106.76 6.94
Ffos Las 3 15:10:00 9 The Green Ogre 4.92 Yes 6.75 90.42 6.1
Wetherby 3 15:20:00 9 Kaki De La Pree 5.06 No 4.17 111.91 4.67
Sandown 3 15:35:00 12 Just A Par 4.38 Yes 8.50 87.63 7.45
Fairyhouse 3 15:40:00 18 To Choose 3.16 Yes 17.00 84.80 14.42
Lingfield (AW) 3 16:05:00 9 Major Muscari 5.37 Yes 4.75 100.00 4.75
Sandown 3 16:10:00 13 Monbeg Theatre 4.03 Yes 7.25 126.87 9.2
Fairyhouse 1 16:15:00 8 Hello Sweetie 3.27 No 17.00 100.00 17

From tomorrow, there will be a link to a PDF of this information on the daily ratings email.

Have a great day's racing!

5 star ratingsOnce again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to Focus Ratings Review and have your say.

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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