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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

2 winners from 6 races (for our top rated horse) yesterday...

Is a pretty decent result.

Weirdly, had you blindly backed every top three rated horse (not something that I would advise doing), you would have made a small profit to ISP.

There were 3 non-handicap races yesterday; our two winners came from those races, giving us a 66.66% strike rate for the non-handicap races and a profit of 47.33% (to ISP) on your stakes for those races.

I've done some analysis on our historical performance at Naas.

You'll need to scroll down to view it.

For more detail on yesterday's results, here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 33.33%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 33.33%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 28.57% from all 7 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 16.42 units returned to 16 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 2.63%

Top Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the top rated horses from 6 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 4.42 units returned to 6 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -26.33%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the second rated horses from 5 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 12 units returned to 5 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 140%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 0 winners from the third rated horses from 5 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 0 units returned to 5 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -100%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 3 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 2 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 66.67%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 4.42 units returned to 3 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 47.33%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 3 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 3 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 100%


Naas

Race Type

The image below shows the historical performance of our top rated horse at Naas...

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Click on the image to see it full size.

Draw Bias

More importantly, the draw analysis shows that, for the 5 furlong and 6 furlong races there is a clear advantage to be drawn in stalls 2 to 7.

2020-03-23--1584936784_691x612_scrot

Click on the image to see it full size.

Over 8 furlongs (the 16:30 today at Naas) the draw bias is clearly stalls 2 to 5.

2020-03-23--1584937071_689x291_scrot

Click on the image to see it full size.

Over 10 furlongs (the 16:00 at Naas today), there appears to be no draw bias at all.

Going

Worryingly, although we don't get much heavy ground at Naas for Flat Turf races...

That is the going that has traditionally given us our worst results (see below...)

2020-03-23--1584937441_649x172_scrot

Click on the image to see it full size.


Something to make you smile...

Health Advice

Q: I've heard that cardiovascular exercise can prolong life.

Is this true?

A: Your heart is only good for so many beats, and that's it.

Everything wears out eventually. Speeding up your heart will not make you live longer; that's like saying you can extend the life of your car by driving it faster. Want to live longer? Take a nap.

Q: Should I cut down on meat and eat more fruits and vegetables?

A: You must grasp logistical efficiencies. What does a cow eat? Hay and corn. And what are these? Vegetables. So a steak is nothing more than an efficient mechanism of delivering vegetables to your system. Need grain? Eat chicken. Beef is also a good source of field grass (green leafy vegetable). And a pork chop can give you 100% of your recommended daily allowance of vegetable slop.

Q: Is beer or wine bad for me?

A: Look, it goes to the earlier point about fruits and vegetables. As we all know, scientists divide everything in the world into three categories: animal, mineral, and vegetable. We all know that beer and wine are not animal, and they are not on the periodic table of elements, so that only leaves one thing, right? My advice: Have a burger and a beer and enjoy your liquid vegetables.

Q: How can I calculate my body/fat ratio?

A: Well, if you have a body, and you have body fat, your ratio is one to one. If you have two bodies, your ratio is two to one, etc.

Q: At the gym, a guy asked me to "spot" for him while he did the bench press. What did he mean?

A: "Spotting" for someone means you stand over him while he blows air up your shorts. It's an accepted practice at health clubs; though if you find that it becomes the ONLY reason why you're going in, you probably ought to reevaluate your exercise program.

Q: What are some of the advantages of participating in a regular exercise program?

A: Can't think of a single one, sorry. My philosophy is: No Pain-No Pain.

Q: If I stop smoking, will I live longer?

A: Nope. Smoking is a sign of individual expression and peace of mind. If you stop, you'll probably stress yourself to death in record time.

Q: Aren't fried foods bad for you?

A: You're not listening. Foods are fried these days in vegetable oil. In fact, they're permeated in it. How could getting more vegetables be bad for you?

Q: What's the secret to healthy eating?

A: Thicker gravy.

Q: Will sit-ups help prevent me from getting a little soft around the middle?

A: Definitely not! When you exercise a muscle, it gets bigger. You should only be doing sit-ups if you want a bigger stomach.

I hope this has cleared up any misconceptions you may have had about trying to live a longer and healthier life...

Today

Today's early test ratings show 5 rated races from one meeting.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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