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Good morning...
A day away from the computer seems to have worked wonders; at least, as far as the results are concerned.
I won't be able to do much work over the weekend but I am hoping to tie up many of the loose ends next week.
In retrospect,
Trying to so the Speed Ratings whilst I was busy with the Winter Upgrades (and my work on Dutching) has proved to be an error but, it is now nearly done so it'll all end well.
Anyway, let's take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 29.03%.
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 83.7 units returned to 91 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 91.98%
If you'd blindly backed the top rated horse in all the rated races, you'd have had 29.44 units returned for 31 units staked.
However, if you'd blindly backed the second rated horse in all the rated races, you'd have had 30.56 units returned for 31 units staked.
And, if you'd blindly backed the third rated horse in all the rated races, you'd have had 26.75 units returned for 30 units staked.
Now, I'm not suggesting that you blindly back all the top rated horses (or 2nd rated horses) but these numbers do say something about the accuracy of the ratings.
Forecasts
There was one forecast yesterday.
Bangor 16:50 - The CSF paid £7.29
Reverse Forecasts
There were four reverse forecasts yesterday.
Bangor 14:45 - The CSF paid £3.65
Newcastle 16:00 - The CSF paid £2.07
Wolverhampton 18:15 - The CSF paid £6.78
Dundalk 20.35 - The CSF paid 5.08
Tricasts/Trifectas
There were no tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Winners
From the 31 rated races there were 22 winners (from the top 3 rated horses) - six of those were at nice prices.
Course | Time | Horse | ISP | BSP |
Kempton | 13:30 | Kayf Blanco | 6.5 | 7.4 |
Kempton | 15:05 | Third Intention | 8.0 | 9.22 |
Wolverhampton | 17:15 | Profile Star | 5.5 | 7.96 |
Dundalk | 19:05 | Elusive in Paris | 6.0 | 6.06 |
Wolverhampton | 19:15 | Aldeburgh | 5.5 | 6.2 |
Dundalk | 21:05 | Shalaman | 5.5 | 5.61 |
There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.
On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.
You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.
If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.
Today's 3am test ratings show 41 rated races from six meetings.
Have a great day's racing!
Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.
The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!
As always...
My kindest regards
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